SCIO briefing on China's economic performance in May 2025

Market News International:

In May, import growth measured in U.S. dollars continued to decline. What are the reasons for the contraction in imports so far this year? What is the outlook for import performance in the second half of the year? Thank you.

Fu Linghui:

Thank you for your questions. Since the this year, the decline in China's imports of goods has been the result of multiple factors. Since the beginning of this year, affected by the uncertainty of international trade policies, the growth momentum of the global economy has weakened, and we have seen a slowdown in global trade growth, which will inevitably affect the growth of China's imports. At the same time, some countries have increased trade restrictive measures, which have also had some adverse effects on China's imports. Moreover, after the weakening of global economic growth momentum this year, international commodity prices, and especially energy prices, have significantly declined. As a major importer of energy and raw materials, the decline in commodity prices will affect the growth of our imports. In the first five months, the average import prices of iron ore, crude oil, coal and soybeans in China decreased by 16.4%, 10.6%, 22.5% and 13.9%, respectively. These factors will have a certain impact on our imports.

While the import value of some commodities has declined, the import of major industrial products in China has continued to grow. In the first five months, the import value of machinery and electronic products increased by 6% year on year, with the import value of automatic data processing equipment and its parts, and integrated circuits increasing by 69% and 7.3%, respectively. In the next stage, as domestic demand continues to expand and China seizes the initiative by opening the market wider to the outside world in an orderly manner, China's vast market will undoubtedly offer greater opportunities and more choices to the world. Thank you.