SCIO briefing on China's economic performance in May 2025

Dingduan News:

In the first five months, the total value of goods imports and exports increased 2.5% year on year, with exports in May up 6.3%. Given weak global demand and tariff hikes by some countries, what are the sources of resilience in China's exports? How do you view the outlook for foreign trade in the near future?

Fu Linghui:

Thank you for your questions. China's foreign trade continued to withstand pressure in May and achieved steady growth. China's total goods imports and exports increased 2.7%, with exports climbing 6.3%, maintaining steady and rapid growth. According to data from market institutions, the global manufacturing PMI new export orders index remained below the threshold indicating expansion in May, marking the second consecutive month in contraction territory. Trade protectionism and rising uncertainty are having an increasingly negative impact on global trade growth. Against this background, the growth of China's goods trade reflects the strong international competitiveness and resilience of the country's foreign trade sector.

Looking at our trading partners, trade with the U.S. fell, while trade with ASEAN, the EU and Belt and Road partner countries grew, reflecting China's progress in diversifying its foreign trade. In the first five months of this year, trade with ASEAN, the EU, and Belt and Road partner countries rose 9.1%, 2.9% and 4.2%, respectively. From the perspective of business entities, China's private enterprises have demonstrated strong market adaptability and flexibility in responding to external fluctuations. They have greatly expanded markets and advanced development, providing solid support for foreign trade growth. From January to May, imports and exports by private enterprises rose 7% year on year, with exports up 8% and imports up 4.9%, outpacing the national average.

In terms of exports, China's ongoing industrial upgrades have boosted the technological sophistication of its products and strengthened its international competitiveness. Exports of electromechanical products remain a key driver of growth, while high-end goods such as integrated circuits have also posted rapid increases. From January to May, exports of electromechanical products grew 9.3% year on year, including an 18.9% increase in integrated circuit exports. The competitive edge of high-tech products remains strong, with exports in this category rising 7.4% in the same period.

Despite a complex and challenging international environment, with rising unilateralism and protectionism severely disrupting global trade, China's foreign trade has continued to grow steadily. This resilience is attributed to China's ongoing commitment to opening up, efforts to diversify foreign trade, advances in high-end, intelligent and green industrial development, continued product upgrades and greater market competitiveness. Government support measures, including improved trade facilitation, have also helped create favorable conditions for foreign trade. Looking ahead, external uncertainties and instabilities may put pressure on growth, but China still holds significant advantages in foreign trade. Continued high-level opening up, based on mutual benefit and win-win cooperation, will remain a key driver of steady growth in the sector. Thank you.

Zhou Jianshe:

Due to time constraints, we'll take one final question.