SCIO briefing on China's economic performance in May 2025

中文

Speaker:

Mr. Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and director general of the Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the NBS

Chairperson:

Zhou Jianshe, deputy director general of the Press Bureau of the State Council Information Office (SCIO) and spokesperson of the SCIO

Date:

June 16, 2025

Zhou Jianshe:

Ladies and gentlemen, good morning. Welcome to this press conference held by the State Council Information Office (SCIO). This is a regular briefing on China's economic data. Today, we are joined by Mr. Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and director general of the Department of Comprehensive Statistics of the NBS. Mr. Fu will brief you on China's economic performance in May 2025 and then take your questions.

Now, I'll give the floor to Mr. Fu.

Fu Linghui:

Ladies and gentlemen, good morning. I am very pleased to attend today's press conference. I will start by briefing you on the main economic indicators for this May and then take your questions.

In May, China's economy remained stable while making further progress.

In May, under the strong leadership of the Party Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, all regions and departments conscientiously implemented the decisions and deployments of the Party Central Committee and the State Council. Adhering to the general principle of seeking progress while maintaining stability, we fully and accurately implemented the new development philosophy on all fronts, accelerated the construction of the new development pattern, solidly promoted high-quality growth, and accelerated the implementation of more proactive and effective macro policies. The national economy withstood the pressure and operated steadily, with production demand growing steadily, employment remaining stable, new drivers of growth becoming stronger, and high-quality development moving toward excellence and innovation.

First, industrial production registered stable growth and equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing grew quickly.

In May, the total value added of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 5.8% year on year, or 0.61% month on month. In terms of sectors, the value added of mining went up by 5.7% year on year, manufacturing up by 6.2%, and the production and supply of electricity, thermal power, gas and water up by 2.2%. The value added of equipment manufacturing increased by 9.0% year on year, and that of high-tech manufacturing increased by 8.6%, which were 3.2 percentage points and 2.8 percentage points faster than that of the total value added by industrial enterprises above designated size. In terms of ownership, the value added of state holding enterprises increased by 3.8% year on year; that of share-holding enterprises increased by 6.3%; that of enterprises funded by foreign investors or investors from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan increased by 3.9%; and that of private enterprises increased by 5.9%. In terms of products, the outputs of 3D printing devices, industrial robots and new energy vehicles (NEVs) grew by 40.0%, 35.5% and 31.7% year on year, respectively. In the first five months, the total value added of industrial enterprises above designated size went up by 6.3% year on year. In May, the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) stood at 49.5%, an increase of 0.5 percentage point from the previous month. The production and operation expectation index was 52.5%, up by 0.4 percentage point. In the first four months, the total profits made by industrial enterprises above designated size were 2.117 trillion yuan, up by 1.4% year on year.

Second, the service sector grew quickly, with the modern services sector gaining momentum.

In May, the index of services production (ISP) increased by 6.2% year on year, 0.2 percentage point faster than that of the previous month. In terms of sectors, that of information transmission, software and information technology services, and leasing and business services, wholesales and retails grew by 11.2%, 8.9% and 8.4% year on year, respectively, which were 5.0 percentage points, 2.7 percentage points and 2.2 percentage points faster than that of the ISP. In the first five months, the ISP increased by 5.9% year on year. In the first four months, the business revenue of service enterprises above designated size went up by 7.2% year on year. In May, the business activity index for the service sector was 50.2%, up 0.1 percentage point from the previous month; and the business activity expectation index was 56.5%, rising by 0.1 percentage point. Specifically, the business activity index for sectors like railway transportation, air transportation, postal service, telecommunication, broadcast, television and satellite transmission services, internet software and information technology services, stayed within the high expansion range of 55.0% and above.

Third, market sales recovered and sales of products under the trade-in program grew rapidly.

In May, the total retail sales of consumer goods was 4.1326 trillion yuan, up by 6.4% year on year, 1.3 percentage points faster than that of April; or up by 0.93% month on month. Analyzed by different areas, the retail sales of consumer goods in urban areas reached 3.6057 trillion yuan, up by 6.5% year on year; and that in rural areas reached 526.9 billion yuan, up by 5.4%. Grouped by consumption patterns, the retail sales of goods were 3.6748 trillion yuan, up by 6.5%; and the income of catering was 457.8 billion yuan, up by 5.9%. Sales of basic living goods and some upgraded products showed good growth. Retail sales in units above designated size of grain, oil and food products, jewelry, and sports and entertainment goods grew by 14.6%, 21.8% and 28.3%, respectively. The effect of trade-in of consumer goods continued to show results, with the retail sales of household appliances and audiovisual equipment, communication equipment, cultural and office supplies, and furniture by enterprises above designated size growing by 53.0%, 33.0%, 30.5% and 25.6%, respectively. In the first five months, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 20.3171 trillion yuan, up by 5.0% year on year. Online retail sales reached 6.0402 trillion yuan, up 8.5% year on year. Specifically, the online retail sales of physical goods were 4.9878 trillion yuan, up 6.3%, accounting for 24.5% of the total. In the first five months, the retail sales of services grew by 5.2% year on year.

Fourth, fixed-asset investment continued to expand, with manufacturing investment growing fast.

In the first five months, fixed-asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 19,194.7 billion yuan, up 3.7% year on year. Excluding real estate development investment, fixed-asset investment grew 7.7%. By sector, investment in infrastructure grew 5.6% year on year, manufacturing investment rose 8.5%, and real estate development investment fell 10.7%. Nationwide, sales of newly built commercial buildings totaled 353.15 million square meters, down 2.9% year on year. Sales of newly built commercial buildings were 3,409.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.8%. By sector, primary industry investment grew 8.4% year on year, secondary industry investment rose 11.4%, and tertiary industry investment fell 0.4%. Private investment was flat from a year earlier. Excluding investment in real estate development, private investment increased 5.8%. Within high-tech industries, investment in information services rose 41.4% year on year; investment in aerospace vehicle and equipment manufacturing grew 24.2%; investment in computer and office device manufacturing increased 21.7%; and investment in professional technical services climbed 11.9%. In May, fixed-asset investment (excluding rural households) increased 0.05% month on month.

Fifth, goods imports and exports continued to grow, and the trade structure kept improving.

In May, total goods imports and exports reached 3,809.8 billion yuan, up 2.7% year on year. Of this total, exports hit 2,226.7 billion yuan, up 6.3%, while imports were 1,533.1 billion yuan, down 2.1%. In the first five months, total goods imports and exports reached 17,944.9 billion yuan, up 2.5% year on year. Of this total, exports reached 10,668.2 billion yuan, up 7.2%, while imports were 7,276.7 billion yuan, down 3.8%. In the first five months, general trade imports and exports grew 0.8%, accounting for 64.2% of the total trade value. Imports and exports by private enterprises grew by 7% year on year, accounting for 57.1% of the total trade value, up 2.4 percentage points from the same period last year. Exports of mechanical and electrical products grew 9.3% year on year, accounting for 60% of the total export value.

Sixth, employment remained generally stable and the surveyed urban unemployment rate declined.

In the first five months, the average surveyed urban unemployment rate was 5.2%. In May, the surveyed urban unemployment rate was 5%, down 0.1 percentage point from the previous month. The surveyed unemployment rate for people with local household registration was 5%, and the rate for those with non-local household registration was also 5%. The rate for people with non-local agricultural household registration was 4.9%. The surveyed urban unemployment rate in 31 major cities was 5%, down 0.1 percentage point from April. The average weekly working hours for employees at enterprises nationwide was 48.5 hours.

Seventh, consumer prices remained low, while the core consumer price index (CPI) rebounded modestly.

In May, the CPI fell 0.1% year on year and 0.2% month on month. By category, prices for food, tobacco and alcohol rose 0.1% year on year; clothing prices increased 1.5%; housing prices were up 0.1%; prices for household goods and services rose 0.1%; transportation and communication prices fell 4.3%; education, culture and entertainment prices increased 0.9%; health care prices rose 0.3%; and prices for other goods and services jumped 7.3%. In terms of food, tobacco and alcohol prices, fresh vegetable prices fell 8.3%, grain prices dropped 1.4%, pork prices rose 3.1%, and fresh fruit prices increased 5.5%. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, went up 0.6% year on year, 0.1 percentage point higher than that of the previous month. In the first five months, the CPI dipped 0.1% year on year.

In May, the national producer price index (PPI) fell 3.3% year on year and 0.4% from the previous month. Purchasing prices for industrial producers dropped 3.6% year on year and 0.6% from the previous month. In the first five months, both the national PPI and the purchasing price index for industrial products fell 2.6% from a year earlier.

Overall, in May, as the effects of a combined policy package continued to materialize, efforts to stabilize the economy and promote growth showed clear results. The national economy maintained a generally stable trajectory with steady progress, fully demonstrating its resilience and vitality. It should also be noted that there are many external uncertainties and destabilizing factors, domestic demand's internal growth momentum still needs to be strengthened, and the foundation for sustained economic recovery and improvement needs to be further consolidated. Moving ahead, we must adhere to the guidance of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era, resolutely implement the decisions and deployments of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, and adhere to the general principle of pursuing progress while ensuring stability. We must fully and accurately implement the new development philosophy, accelerate the construction of a new development paradigm, coordinate domestic economic work with international economic and trade efforts, and unswervingly handle our own affairs well. We will give greater priority to the expansion of domestic demand and the strengthening of the domestic economic cycle, concentrate on stabilizing employment and the economy, and promote high-quality development to advance sustained and healthy economic development. Thank you.

Zhou Jianshe:

Thank you, Mr. Fu. The floor is now open for questions. Please identify your media outlet before asking your question.