《百尺竿頭更進(jìn)一步》

我即將再次訪問(wèn)德國(guó)，目的是全方位推進(jìn)中德合作。對(duì)此，有人可能會(huì)問(wèn)一些問(wèn)題，這些問(wèn)題都可以從中德合作的歷史脈絡(luò)和現(xiàn)實(shí)需要中、從中國(guó)的改革開(kāi)放與發(fā)展中找到答案。

中德為什么能夠越走越近？

原因很簡(jiǎn)單，就是雙方共同利益越來(lái)越大，相互需求越來(lái)越強(qiáng)。近年中德各領(lǐng)域合作發(fā)展迅速，兩國(guó)都把對(duì)方視作最重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)伙伴之一，聯(lián)手應(yīng)對(duì)國(guó)際金融危機(jī)使這種紐帶更加牢固。目前，中德合作已成為中歐合作的龍頭，雙方貿(mào)易額占到中歐貿(mào)易總額的30％左右。據(jù)中國(guó)商務(wù)部統(tǒng)計(jì)，去年德國(guó)對(duì)華實(shí)際投資達(dá)14．5億美元，增長(zhǎng)了28．5％，中國(guó)對(duì)德投資項(xiàng)目數(shù)量位列第三，僅次于美國(guó)和瑞士。在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)低迷的背景下，這一成績(jī)令人刮目相看。

兩國(guó)合作促進(jìn)了彼此的發(fā)展。中國(guó)的長(zhǎng)項(xiàng)是市場(chǎng)規(guī)模大，但在科技研發(fā)、企業(yè)管理、產(chǎn)品工藝等方面，從德國(guó)學(xué)習(xí)借鑒到很多?？梢哉f(shuō)，在中國(guó)現(xiàn)代化進(jìn)程中，德國(guó)是持久的合作伙伴。雙方合作也為德國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)增添了活力。中國(guó)汽車市場(chǎng)已占到大眾汽車全球銷量的30％，是寶馬公司全球第一大市場(chǎng)。西門子和巴斯夫公司也把中國(guó)作為全球第三大市場(chǎng)。

中德合作能繼續(xù)有所超越嗎？

答案是肯定的。目前中德合作已經(jīng)達(dá)到歷史新高度，但中國(guó)有句老話，百尺竿頭更進(jìn)一步。現(xiàn)在雙邊貿(mào)易額為1600多億美元，只占中國(guó)外貿(mào)總額3．8萬(wàn)億美元的4％左右。在中國(guó)日益增長(zhǎng)的對(duì)外投資中，德國(guó)所占的份額也比較低。中德相互促進(jìn)、共同增長(zhǎng)，是大有可為的。

同時(shí)，中國(guó)自身發(fā)展還有很大空間。我們將通過(guò)努力，到2020年使GDP和居民人均收入比2010年翻一番。中國(guó)有13億多人口，正在推進(jìn)工業(yè)化、信息化、城鎮(zhèn)化、農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化，每年有1000多萬(wàn)人口從農(nóng)村轉(zhuǎn)移到城鎮(zhèn)，居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)逐步升級(jí)，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)加快調(diào)整，這些都能持續(xù)釋放巨大的內(nèi)需潛力。

尤其是中國(guó)的改革會(huì)帶來(lái)巨大紅利。過(guò)去30多年中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)快速發(fā)展，靠的是改革；今后促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)健康發(fā)展，還是要靠改革。目前中國(guó)改革已進(jìn)入深水區(qū)、攻堅(jiān)階段，我們將全面深化行政體制、財(cái)稅、金融、價(jià)格等重要領(lǐng)域改革，通過(guò)改革促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型、民生改善、社會(huì)公正，激發(fā)市場(chǎng)的潛力和發(fā)展的動(dòng)力。

開(kāi)放也是改革，以開(kāi)放促改革、促發(fā)展，是我們的重要經(jīng)驗(yàn)。中國(guó)奉行互利共贏的開(kāi)放戰(zhàn)略，正在大力推進(jìn)新一輪對(duì)外開(kāi)放，使開(kāi)放的領(lǐng)域更廣、開(kāi)放的程度更深。我們將進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大服務(wù)貿(mào)易領(lǐng)域開(kāi)放，帶動(dòng)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展。今后五年，中國(guó)將進(jìn)口10萬(wàn)億美元左右的商品，對(duì)外投資規(guī)模累計(jì)將達(dá)到5000億美元。經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)發(fā)展和改革開(kāi)放的深化，會(huì)使中國(guó)市場(chǎng)規(guī)模不斷擴(kuò)大，這有利于德國(guó)進(jìn)一步開(kāi)拓亞洲市場(chǎng)，為德國(guó)企業(yè)發(fā)展、為德國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)繁榮提供更多機(jī)遇。

Open Up New Horizon for China-Germany Relations

I will soon be visiting Germany again to boost China's cooperation with Germany on all fronts. People may want to learn more about the visit, and I believe that one can find answers in both the historical evolution of and current necessity for China-Germany cooperation as well as in China's ongoing reform and opening up.

Why are China and Germany getting closer?

The reason is simple: Both our common interests and mutual need are growing. In recent years, we have enjoyed rapid growth in bilateral cooperation across the board, and we regard each other as one of our most important business partners. This bond has been enhanced by our joint response to the international financial crisis. Today, cooperation between our two countries has become the engine driving China-EU cooperation, with China-Germany trade taking up roughly 30 percent of China's total trade with Europe. According to statistics of China's Ministry of Commerce, German paid-in investment last year in China increased by 28.5 percent to reach 1.45 billion U.S. dollars, and China became the third largest foreign investor in Germany in terms of project number, next only to the United States and Switzerland. This is remarkable in a sluggish global economy.

China-Germany cooperation has contributed to our respective growth. China has a large market, which is our strength. But we have learnt a lot from Germany in terms of research and development, corporate governance and technologies. Germany is China's long-term partner in its pursuit of modernization. Cooperation with China has also stimulated Germany's growth. The Chinese market accounts for 30 percent of Volkswagen's global sales and is the largest market for BMW. China is also the third largest market for Siemens and BASF.

Can we aim for even closer cooperation?

The answer is yes. While China-Germany cooperation has reached a record level, we can do even better. Our two-way trade, which stands at over 160 billion dollars, is only about 4 percent of China's total foreign trade of 3.8 trillion dollars. And Germany's share of China's ever-growing outbound investment is still quite low. This means that there is great potential to be tapped in growing win-win business ties between our two countries.

What's more, China itself has vast space for development. We will work hard to double the size of the 2010 GDP and per capita income by 2020. China, a country with over 1.3 billion people, is simultaneously pursuing industrialization, application of information technologies, urbanization and agricultural modernization. Every year, over 10 million rural people move to cities. The mix of individual consumption is being upgraded, and economic structural adjustment is accelerating. All these will release huge potential in domestic demand.

In particular, reform in China will yield huge dividend. China has relied on reform to achieve sustained and fast growth in the past three decades or so, and it will continue to rely on reform for sustained and sound growth going forward. Reform in China has now entered a deep-water zone where tough challenges need to be tackled. We will fully deepen reform in key areas such as administrative system, fiscal policy and taxation, finance and pricing in order to shift the growth model, improve people's lives, promote social equity and unleash market potential and the driving force for development.

Opening up is also a kind of reform. To advance reform and development through opening up is an important experience we have gained. China follows a win-win strategy of opening up. We are vigorously promoting a new round of opening up to increase openness in both breadth and depth. We will make our trade in services still more open to drive the growth of the service sector. In the coming five years, China will import about ten trillion dollars of goods and invest 500 billion dollars overseas. Sustained economic growth and further reform and opening up will bring about an ever growing market in China. This will give Germany greater access to the Asian market and provide more opportunities for growth of German businesses and economic prosperity of Germany.