Home> Top News
CPI rise stokes inflation fears
March-12-2010

A key gauge of inflation rose by a stronger-than-expected 2.7 percent year-on-year in February from 1.5 percent in January - the fastest clip in 15 months - adding pressure on the government to tighten policies.

Given the 2.25 percent one-year interest rate on deposits, the consumer price index (CPI) growth means the real interest rate has returned to negative for the first time since 2008, raising the possibility of an interest rate hike.

The CPI rise was mainly caused by food price increases during Spring Festival. Prices rose by 6.2 percent, compared to 1 percent for non-food prices, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Thursday.

Severe weather conditions also drove up food prices, said Sheng Laiyun, NBS spokesman.

Analysts said that given the Spring Festival effect, policymakers should not hasten to tighten policies.

"Only after key figures for March come out should we discuss about a possible rate hike," said Dong Xian'an, chief macroeconomic analyst of Industrial Securities.

Sheng predicted that March CPI will ease as the government takes additional measures to control prices to keep the rate below the government-set 3 percent target.

Some analysts, meanwhile, said even inflation as high as 2.7 percent is not a cause for concern. Zhou Mingjian, analyst with Pacific Securities, said inflation of 3-5 percent is tolerable for a developing nation, as mild inflation is usually caused by economic expansion, and benefits growth by encouraging production and investment. He said it is unnecessary to raise interest rates in the first half of the year, as it could dampen lending and harm recovery.

Hans Timmer, director of the development prospects group at the World Bank in Washington, said in an earlier interview that he would not be concerned even if inflation rose to 5 per cent in China this year.

Ma Jun, chief economist of Greater China at Deutsche Bank Hong Kong, however, said an interest rate hike is necessary given other rising indicators.

Industrial output increased 20.7 percent year-on-year in the first two months, 16.9 percentage points higher than a year ago. Fixed-asset investment rose 26.6 percent, slightly higher than the same period last year. Retail sales increased by 17.9 percent year-on-year in the first two months, and the producer price index, which measures factory-gate prices, went up by 5.4 percent in February.

"Most of these data are stronger than expected and this trend should likely make policymakers tighten monetary, fiscal, exchange rate and real estate policies, as well as restrict financing options for local government-sponsored investments," Ma said.

Wang Qing, chief economist for Greater China, Morgan Stanley, agreed. "The central bank is likely to raise the reserve requirement ratio of commercial banks again, and hike the interest rate by 27 basis points as early as April, before another two lift-ups taking place in the third and fourth quarter."

Total bank lending in February fell to 700.1 billion yuan ($102.6 billion), down by half from January's level, after regulators tightened credit controls, the central bank said on Thursday.

 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 精品国产一区二区三区香蕉事 | 亚洲成年www| 欧美黑人bbbbbbbbb| 午夜伦情电午夜伦情影院 | 旧里番yy4480在线高清影院| 亚洲天天做日日做天天欢毛片| 热久久综合这里只有精品电影| 免费黄色大片网站| 美女下部隐私免费直播| 国产xxxx色视频在线观看| 青青青国产免费线在| 国产女人aaa级久久久级| 婷婷综合缴情亚洲狠狠图片| 国产精品第1页| 中文字幕亚洲一区二区va在线| 日韩午夜视频在线观看| 人人影院免费大片| 精品400部自拍视频在线播放| 国产成人精品免高潮在线观看| 13一14sex破| 国产美女高清**毛片| 97国产在线播放| 在线播放无码后入内射少妇| a级毛片高清免费视频就| 好看的中文字幕在线| 久久天天躁狠狠躁夜夜呲| 最近免费中文字幕大全免费版视频| 亚洲另类欧美日韩| 欧美成人亚洲欧美成人| 亚洲日本一区二区三区在线不卡 | 中文字幕日韩人妻不卡一区| 日本在线观看a| 久久天堂AV综合合色蜜桃网| 日韩在线观看免费完整版视频| 乱岳合集500篇| 最近中文字幕免费完整| 亚洲VA中文字幕无码毛片| 狂野欧美激情性xxxx| 伊人久久中文大香线蕉综合| 越南大胆女人体337p欣赏| 国产精品欧美亚洲区|