May's Brexit deal defeated: What's next?

By Heiko Khoo
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, January 21, 2019
Adjust font size:
British Prime Minister Theresa May prepares to make a statement outside 10 Downing street, in London, Britain on Jan. 16, 2019. [Photo/Xinhua]

Theresa May suffered a catastrophic defeat in parliament on Jan. 15, when 432 MPs voted against her Brexit deal and only 202 voted for it. The next day the conservative government survived a no-confidence vote that was moved by opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn and backed by all the opposition parties. The conservative MPs, with 10 votes from the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), managed to ensure the government's survival, with a final vote of 325 backing the move and 306 opposing it. 

Inside the Conservative Party, Jacob Rees Mogg MP leads the right-wing European Research Group (ERG), which favors leaving the EU with no deal. In December he attempted to oust Theresa May as party leader but failed. This week the ERG joined hands with MPs of all stripes in order to vote down Theresa May's deal, which was the result of two years of negotiations and which had agreement from the governments of the EU's 27 member states. Thus, this defeat is the biggest of any government in British parliamentary history. 

As a result of the sound thrashing of her deal, the suspension of Brexit is likely, as it is set to automatically occur at 11 p.m. on March 29 in the absence of a deal. With no deal in place, this will cause considerable disruption to trade and legal arrangements. Both within parliament and outside, this scenario is generally predicted to be catastrophic. 

During the parliamentary debate on the Labour Party's no-confidence motion, it became clear that the conservatives refuse a general election because they fear a serious electoral meltdown. And, above all, they fear that Jeremy Corbyn could become prime minister.

After winning the confidence vote, the prime minister offered an olive branch to the opposition parties, as without them she will be unable to find a way out of the impasse. Corbyn, however, made his participation contingent on a guarantee that May will take a "no-deal Brexit" off the table. She has refused to make this guarantee, and some cabinet ministers are even considering restarting negotiations with the EU based on a no-deal scenario. Nevertheless, the overwhelming majority of MPs are implacably opposed to a no-deal Brexit.

A UK flag and an EU flag are seen outside the Houses of Parliament in London, Britain, on Jan. 17, 2019. [Photo/Xinhua]

The government now has to return to parliament with an adjusted deal on Monday, Jan. 21. Amendments to this deal involved possible cross-party coalitions seeking to cobble together something that parliament can agree on, and thereby forge a new deal that can be taken back to Brussels. This is unlikely to succeed, as the Conservative Party's internal divisions lie at the very heart of the problem.

Meanwhile, EU leaders are clearly irritated at Britain's parliamentary process and are infuriated that the negotiations to date have produced no tangible results. The EU's attitude towards an extension of the Brexit deadline has, until now, been envisaged only in the event of a general election or a referendum.  

Despite defeating the no-confidence vote, it is not excluded that if the parliamentary impasse continues over the next weeks, Theresa May herself might pivot towards calling a general election. 

However, conflicts within the Conservative Party were responsible for the Brexit referendum in the first place. In the 2017 general election, Jeremy Corbyn revealed a remarkable capacity to galvanize popular support for Labour, but the Brexit issue has exacerbated sharp divisions between his own party (which is overwhelmingly pro-EU) and its voting base, which in many areas is pro-Brexit. Corbyn has tried to balance these conflicting pressures by emphasizing the need for unity of the working class, a message that has proven hard to sell. 

So for the time being, it looks as though the chaos of Brexit will continue to play out on the stage of the British government.

Heiko Khoo is a columnist with China.org.cn. 

For more information please visit: http://china.org.cn/opinion/heikokhoo.htm

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
ChinaNews App Download
Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: japanese中文字幕| 久久国产精品免费看| 男生和女生一起差差在线观看| 国产亚洲情侣一区二区无| 1000部拍拍拍18免费网站| 在线精品91青草国产在线观看| 一本大道AV伊人久久综合| 无码精品a∨在线观看无广告| 久久精品私人影院免费看| 欧美三级黄色大片| 亚洲欧洲国产综合| 波多野结衣视频网| 体育生开房互操| 精品国产福利在线观看| 国产av熟女一区二区三区| 青草资源视频在线高清观看| 国产激情视频网站| 182tv免费视视频线路一二三| 国产麻豆一精品一av一免费| A国产一区二区免费入口| 奇米第四色首页| www日韩精品| 小娇乳H边走边欢1V1视频国产| 中文字幕一区二区三区日韩精品 | 精品国自产拍天天拍2021| 国产AV国片精品有毛| 被夫上司持续入侵大桥未久| 国产凸凹视频一区二区| 高high肉文| 国产在线国偷精品产拍| 国产精品va一级二级三级| 国产粉嫩白浆在线观看 | 日日噜噜夜夜爽爽| 久久九九精品国产av片国产 | 野花社区视频在线观看| 国产在线视频网| 992tv国产人成在线观看| 国产成人精品免费视频大全可播放的 | 国产亚洲精品美女久久久| 西西人体午夜视频| 国产乱理伦片在线看夜|