亚洲精品久久久久久一区二区_99re热久久这里只有精品34_久久免费高清视频_一区二区三区不卡在线视频

 

How debt differs in China, the US and Japan

By Dan Steinbock
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail Shanghai Daily, January 11, 2017
Adjust font size:

Unlike advanced economies, China remains better positioned to overcome its debt challenges. In recent months, China has managed to stabilize growth. Nevertheless, stabilization has required capital controls, continued lending and repeated interventions. Some observers have concluded that China has opted for a path that proved so costly to Japan in the 1990s and the US in 2007. Yet, realities are a bit more complex.

Certainly, Chinese credit surge has been extraordinarily rapid in historical terms. In 1994, Japan's plunge was preceded by decades of lending. In 2007, the US recession was fueled by a massive debt pile that had accrued in three decades. In China, debt involves local government debt, which accumulated after the 2009 stimulus package.

During the Great Recession, China's huge stimulus boosted confidence, supported the infrastructure drive, and prevented a global depression. But excessive liquidity led to speculation in equity and property markets.

As lending continues to boost state-owned enterprises (SOEs), China's private debt to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio surged to 205 percent in 2015, which exceeded the ratio in the US (166 percent) and came close to Japan (214 percent). These figures should be understood in the context, however. Since China's government debt is low (16 percent), its total debt was less than that in Japan (281 percent) and the US (247 percent).

The most far-reaching differences, however, involve different levels of economic development.

Japan and the US are advanced economies, which enjoy relatively high living standards, but suffer from low growth and secular stagnation. China is an emerging economy and its growth rate remains over 3 times faster than that of the US and its growth potential remains substantial in the next 5-15 years, given peaceful regional conditions.

Domestic savings rate is vital cushion in times of deleveraging. In the past four decades, Japan's savings rate has plunged dramatically (from 40 percent in 1970s to 18 percent today).

Recently, it has enjoyed trade surplus, but only after substantial depreciation of the yen. In the US, domestic savings rate is low (17 percent) and the country has run trade deficits for 40 years. In China, the reverse prevails. Until recently, savings rate has been relatively high (close to 50 percent), and trade balance remains on the surplus.

Total internal debt must also be seen in the light of external debt (foreign debt), which is the total debt a country owes to foreign creditors. In emerging markets, high external debt has typically triggered major crises. Yet, China has little external debt (8 percent to GDP), unlike the US (100 percent) or Japan (171 percent). Unlike major advanced economies and other large emerging economies, China is also seeking to reduce its debt pile, by converting short-term bank debt into long-term bonds and redirecting credit to the private sector and households.

Nevertheless, China can no longer rely on credit-fueled growth. China's current credit target (13 percent) remains twice the growth rate (about 6.7 percent). As long as the gap between credit-taking and growth rate is substantial, it will continue to penalize the quality of growth.

Dr Steinbock is the founder of Difference Group and has served as research director at the India, China and America Institute (USA) and visiting fellow at the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (China) and the EU Center (Singapore). For more, see http://www.differencegroup.net/

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
ChinaNews App Download
Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
亚洲精品久久久久久一区二区_99re热久久这里只有精品34_久久免费高清视频_一区二区三区不卡在线视频
在线亚洲一区二区| 久久综合久久综合九色| 亚洲丰满少妇videoshd| 午夜日韩电影| 亚洲在线网站| 亚洲欧美日本日韩| 亚洲午夜小视频| 一区二区国产日产| 一区二区欧美视频| 夜夜精品视频| 亚洲色图自拍| 亚洲香蕉在线观看| 亚洲一区二区少妇| 先锋影音久久久| 欧美有码在线观看视频| 久久成人免费电影| 久久精品国产清自在天天线| 久久精品国产96久久久香蕉| 亚洲二区在线观看| 亚洲欧洲视频在线| 夜夜爽www精品| 亚洲一区二区三区高清| 亚洲香蕉视频| 久久动漫亚洲| 另类图片国产| 欧美另类一区二区三区| 欧美三级资源在线| 国产精品自在在线| 影音先锋欧美精品| 亚洲精品小视频在线观看| 一区二区三区毛片| 亚洲欧美日韩综合国产aⅴ| 欧美在线免费观看| 亚洲日本欧美| 亚洲一区二区三区视频播放| 性久久久久久久久| 久久久久免费观看| 欧美激情a∨在线视频播放| 欧美午夜精品久久久久久超碰| 国产精品亚洲综合色区韩国| 韩国免费一区| 亚洲精品日韩欧美| 亚洲性感美女99在线| 欧美一区在线看| 日韩视频免费在线| 亚洲欧美在线另类| 快射av在线播放一区| 欧美日韩午夜| 国产亚洲人成网站在线观看| 亚洲国产精品v| 亚洲图中文字幕| 久久精品青青大伊人av| 在线综合亚洲欧美在线视频| 欧美主播一区二区三区| 欧美电影免费观看高清| 国产精品欧美一区二区三区奶水| 很黄很黄激情成人| 一本色道久久综合狠狠躁篇怎么玩| 午夜在线一区| 亚洲最新色图| 久久视频一区二区| 国产精品成人在线| 在线观看中文字幕不卡| 亚洲先锋成人| 99re66热这里只有精品3直播 | 国产精品尤物福利片在线观看| 国产专区一区| 日韩一级不卡| 亚洲国产精品第一区二区| 亚洲五月婷婷| 麻豆精品一区二区综合av| 国产精品美女久久久久久2018| 亚洲电影在线| 欧美一区二区播放| 亚洲无线视频| 欧美激情第4页| 好吊一区二区三区| 亚洲视频欧美在线| 一区二区动漫| 模特精品裸拍一区| 国产小视频国产精品| 亚洲视频一区在线| 日韩视频专区| 久久综合伊人77777| 国产麻豆一精品一av一免费| 日韩亚洲欧美精品| 亚洲精品免费网站| 浪潮色综合久久天堂| 国产精品主播| 亚洲色诱最新| 一区二区三区久久精品| 欧美激情国产精品| 在线精品视频在线观看高清| 亚洲欧美在线免费| 亚洲欧美日韩成人| 欧美日韩一区二区三区视频| 91久久黄色| 亚洲人在线视频| 麻豆成人综合网| 国内精品亚洲| 性欧美大战久久久久久久免费观看 | 国产精品看片你懂得| 亚洲欧洲免费视频| 亚洲青涩在线| 久久午夜av| 国产一区 二区 三区一级| 亚洲欧美激情精品一区二区| 亚洲欧美日韩爽爽影院| 欧美视频一区二区在线观看 | 狠狠做深爱婷婷久久综合一区| 午夜久久电影网| 香蕉久久一区二区不卡无毒影院| 国产精品高潮粉嫩av| 一本一本久久| 亚洲女同在线| 国产精品久久久久久久久久尿| 夜夜夜久久久| 亚洲一区国产精品| 国产精品久久久久永久免费观看| 一区二区三区精品在线 | 国产精品午夜在线| 亚洲欧美日韩网| 久久国产精品99精品国产| 国产女主播一区二区| 性伦欧美刺激片在线观看| 久久国产精品久久国产精品| 国产视频欧美| 久久精品视频在线观看| 开元免费观看欧美电视剧网站| 娇妻被交换粗又大又硬视频欧美| 亚洲电影免费观看高清| 欧美xx视频| 99re热这里只有精品免费视频| 亚洲一级片在线看| 国产精品一香蕉国产线看观看| 亚洲欧美日韩直播| 久久人人九九| 亚洲韩国精品一区| 亚洲视屏在线播放| 国产精品美女久久久久久久 | 久久一区二区三区四区五区| 在线色欧美三级视频| aa日韩免费精品视频一| 国产精品sss| 欧美一区二区三区免费看| 欧美 日韩 国产一区二区在线视频 | 国产一区二区成人| 亚洲高清不卡av| 欧美日产在线观看| 亚洲一级黄色av| 久久久久**毛片大全| 亚洲电影有码| 亚洲午夜精品网| 国产日韩精品视频一区二区三区| 亚洲高清影视| 欧美日韩视频在线第一区| 亚洲欧美激情一区二区| 久久夜色精品国产噜噜av| 亚洲欧洲综合| 欧美一级视频| 亚洲国产精品久久久久婷婷884 | 亚洲乱码视频| 国产精品视频网址| 亚洲国产三级在线| 欧美日韩中文在线| 欧美在线中文字幕| 欧美日韩一区自拍| 欧美在线关看| 欧美日韩一区二区三区免费看 | 欧美日韩视频在线一区二区| 香蕉成人啪国产精品视频综合网| 欧美国产精品人人做人人爱| 亚洲免费视频观看| 欧美激情片在线观看| 亚洲欧美激情视频| 欧美华人在线视频| 午夜精品久久久久久久白皮肤| 欧美激情导航| 欧美在线观看视频一区二区三区 | 亚洲男人的天堂在线aⅴ视频| 欧美jizzhd精品欧美喷水| 中文av字幕一区| 蜜臀av性久久久久蜜臀aⅴ四虎| 在线一区欧美| 欧美高清在线视频| 欧美一级一区| 欧美视频二区36p| 亚洲韩国青草视频| 国产女优一区| 亚洲一区二区欧美| 亚洲第一区色| 欧美中日韩免费视频| 日韩一级大片| 欧美成人精品一区| 欧美在线观看www| 国产精品一区二区三区观看| 一本一本久久| 亚洲电影av| 久久婷婷成人综合色| 亚洲欧美日韩国产综合在线|