London: First overseas RMB center for China's government debt

By Dan Steinbock
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, October 19, 2015
Adjust font size:

While government bonds still dominate some two-thirds of the total market, financial and non-financial corporate bonds have soared to about 30 percent of the market.

Last spring, many countries in Asia and elsewhere joined the China-proposed Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB), while Europeans stood aside. What changed the game was the U.K.'s decision as the first major Western country to participate in the AIIB. It paved the way for the rest of Europe to follow in the footprints.

Reminiscent of the Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect, the idea of a Shanghai-London connect also emerged last fall. China and the U.K. have agreed to carry out a feasibility study on the project, which, along with major trade deals, is likely to be discussed during President Xi's state visit.

Low foreign participation

Stars are well-aligned for bilateral relations. While London needs foreign investment in its infrastructure, Beijing seeks to export excess production capacity to sustain its economic growth.

What makes the U.K. so eager to become a major overseas RMB center is the simple fact that foreign ownership of Chinese bonds remains minimal at about 2 percent, relative to other Asian markets, such as Korea (14 percent), Thailand (16 percent), Malaysia (31 percent), not to speak of Indonesia (40 percent).

Despite occasional criticism in the West, China's gradualist and reversible approach has served it well. If Beijing really had liberalized financial services before the global crisis in 2008-9, it would have been swept by the meltdown in the U.S., European and Japanese financial markets.

Moreover, foreign ownership is a mixed blessing. In good times, it can boost debt markets; in bad times, it may devastate entire economies. As the U.S. Fed is widely expected to raise interest rates in the coming months, the value of the U.S. dollar will climb. Consequently, those Asian economies that are highly reliant on foreign owners and dollar-denominated debt - Indonesia, for instance - may find it challenging to defuse the adverse effects.

In contrast, China - as it is opening its financial services gradually - can move ahead more steadily and take back steps when needed.

Chinese bond market's huge potential

In the past, China relied on bank loans for credit growth. In the near future, bond market will diversify risk from the banking system, but also ensure a more sustainable funding source, particularly for rapidly-growing and labor-intensive small-and-medium enterprises (SMEs). In turn, London hopes to consolidate a foothold as an offshore RMB center that its rivals will find hard to match.

Today, China's bond market accounts about 50 percent of its GDP, relative to an average of 200 percent for major advanced economies, such as the U.S., Japan, U.K., France and Italy.

Of course, China remains an emerging economy and, as such, subject to the kind of vulnerabilities that advanced economies are in a better position to contain. Nevertheless, the economic potential of China's bond market is stunning.

The author is a columnist with China.org.cn. For more information please visit: http://www.ccgp-fushun.com/opinion/DanSteinbock.htm

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
   Previous   1   2  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 夫妻免费无码V看片| 日韩欧美电影在线观看| 公和我做好爽添厨房| 青青草国产青春综合久久| 国产真实乱人视频| 97精品伊人久久久大香线焦| 小受被强攻按做到哭男男| 丰满岳乱妇一区二区三区| 日韩精品一区二区三区在线观看l| 亚洲国产精品午夜电影| 爱做久久久久久| 免费特级黄毛片| 综合久久给合久久狠狠狠97色| 国产乱子伦精品无码码专区| 黄色黄色一级片| 国产砖码砖专区| 4444www免费看| 国外欧美一区另类中文字幕| chinesegay成年男人露j网站| 成人亚洲欧美激情在线电影| 久久99精品久久水蜜桃| 日韩一中文字幕| 久久精品麻豆日日躁夜夜躁 | 特级毛片全部免费播放a一级| 再灬再灬再灬深一点舒服| 色噜噜狠狠一区二区三区果冻| 国产免费久久精品久久久| 91丨九色丨蝌蚪3p| 国产真实伦在线观看| 大尺度视频网站久久久久久久久| 国产精品综合一区二区三区| 91亚洲精品自在在线观看| 国内精品久久久久国产盗摄| 99在线精品免费视频九九视| 外国毛片大全免费看| CAOPORN国产精品免费视频| 天天拍天天干天天操| eeuss影院免费92242部| 天天综合网久久| a级成人毛片久久| 天天做天天爱夜夜爽毛片毛片|