Market volatility heralds hikes in US Fed's rate

By Dan Steinbock
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, August 28, 2015
Adjust font size:

According to conventional wisdom, the US economy is recovering significantly faster than other advanced economies, growth is gaining greater momentum and the dollar is strengthening.

However, markets are increasingly volatile. In early June, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, or DJIA, still exceeded 18,200 while the Shanghai Index was close to 5,200. Nevertheless, only a few days ago, the DJIA plunged below 16,000. Global markets also followed in these footprints and Shanghai's A-share index fell below 3,000.

 [By Jiao Haiyang/China.org.cn]



Markets remained anxious worldwide until China cut interest rates for the fifth time in nine months, along with reserve ratios. In the West, US turmoil was attributed to China's devaluation. In reality, US market analysts have been anticipating correction for a long while.

Why China changed the yuan's parity

On August 11, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) made a change to its central parity of the yuan against the U.S. dollar in order to better reflect market conditions. While the move was characterized as "dramatic," the net effect was a de facto devaluation of 1.87% relative to the US dollar.

Some saw the PBOC's decision as still another signal that China's growth deceleration is worse than anticipated. Yet, China's rebalancing seems to be proceeding as anticipated in the medium-term, which means significant near-term volatility.

Others argued that the decision was the opening shot in a "currency war" that would spread internationally. However, jumpstarting exports and growth by less than 2% devaluation would be grossly inadequate. Besides, China's rebalancing means a move away from net exports and investment.

Still, others saw the PBOC's decision as an effort to comply with IMF conditions to include the yuan in the special drawing rights (SDR) currency basket. As the pressure is on the yuan to weaken, the idea of having greater exchange rate flexibility is understandable.

Indeed, the move toward a more market-determined rate is precisely what the IMF and the US Treasury have been asking for. Depreciation is not the objective of the Chinese exchange-rate policy. Rather, it is subject to China's huge rebalancing.

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
1   2   Next  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 动漫美女羞羞漫画| 被女同桌调教成鞋袜奴脚奴| 麻豆国产精品va在线观看不卡| 成人免费观看一区二区| 美女精品永久福利在线| 波多野结衣与老人| 日本免费的一级v一片| 在线观看免费国产视频| 国产大陆亚洲精品国产| 免费中文字幕不卡视频| 亚洲AV综合色区无码二区爱AV| 不卡无码人妻一区三区音频| 高清国产激情视频在线观看| 美国式禁忌矿桥矿17集| 欧美成人一区二区三区在线电影| 无人视频在线观看免费播放影院| 国产色产综合色产在线观看视频| 国产亚洲成AV人片在线观看| 亚洲精品国产免费| 久久久久国色av免费观看| 91亚洲va在线天线va天堂va国产 | 國产一二三内射在线看片| 国产乱人伦AV麻豆网| 亚洲国产欧美日韩| gogogo高清在线播放| 色翁荡息又大又硬又粗又爽| 欧美巨大黑人精品videos人妖| 强波多野结衣痴汉电车| 国产呦系列免费| 亚洲午夜精品一区二区 | 麻豆福利在线观看| 欧美日韩国产亚洲人成| 好男人好资源影视在线| 国产人成精品香港三级在| 亚洲一区欧美日韩| 99re免费在线视频| 精品一区二区三区电影| 日本24小时www| 国产成人精品影院狼色在线| 亚洲欧美日韩在线一区二区三区| 一个人看的www日本高清视频|