China's economic slowdown and transition

By Yu Ning
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, October 28, 2014
Adjust font size:

At the same time, Li said that China will launch major investment projects in the fields of information networks, environmental protection, infrastructure and water conservation, and put more effort into developing the service sector instead of manufacturing.

That means China is on the right track to pursue "green" GDP, which can manifest itself in various ways, such as less pollution, more efficient use of energy, innovation and better management of the future consequences of any expansion in stimulus policies.

He also called for a "flexible" fiscal and monetary policies and "appropriate targeted adjustments" to support the real economy.

In September, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, injected 500 billion yuan into big five banks via a three month standing lending facility operation and it will give another 200 billion yuan to certain commercial banks this month, earlier reports said.

The recent liquidity injections are aimed at lowering market interest rates by offering cheaper liquidity to commercial banks. This may support credit and boost growth, but smaller risks still remain because of weaker domestic demand. In addition, more aggressive policy actions such as interest rate cuts are not expected in the near term.

As a result, the economy will continue to grow in a more moderate way over the medium term, and the structural shifts will become more evident during the rest of the year, as the challenges to adjust the country's economic model from one heavily reliant on investment and exports to one more driven by innovation and consumption are still underway.

The bright side is that that the PBOC has also relaxed lending policies to offer a maximum 30 percent discount to first time home buyers, and with more housing rules to ease housing being rolling out, the move will further boost the real estate market, and hopefully bring better results in the near term.

To reach the target of having "green" and sustainable GDP, China also needs to invite more private companies to participate in the public sectors, particularly in infrastructure development, construction and energy. Public-private partnerships offer a good platform for inviting more non-government participation.

The IMF projects that Chinese growth will slow almost imperceptibly over the next five years, from about 7.4 percent this year to 6.3 percent by the end of the decade. The IMF's forecast for China's growth over the next five years may seem slightly bearish, but it is wildly optimistic by historical standards.

Barclay's said in a report that the Chinese government is expected to set a lower growth target of 7.0-7.5 percent for 2015, compared to the target of 7.5 percent in 2014, and to maintain a below-consensus 2015 GDP growth forecast of 6.9 percent.

The bank also forecast two 25-basic-point cuts in benchmark market interest rates, one in the fourth quarter this year and the other in the first quarter of 2015.

To sum up, the slowdown in the economic growth rate may not be a bad thing for Chinese economy, in the contrary, it is beneficial to our economic transition and reform.

The writer is Lecturer of Beijing International Studies University, Associate Researcher of Stevenson Center in U.S.

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

 

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
   Previous   1   2  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩美一区二区| 男人使劲躁爽女人动态图| 国产最新精品视频| 91福利在线视频| 天天狠狠弄夜夜狠狠躁·太爽了| 中文在线√天堂| 日产精品1区至六区有限公司| 久青草无码视频在线观看| 欧美成人午夜精品免费福利| 亚洲色欲久久久久综合网| 粉嫩虎白女P虎白女在线| 台湾佬中文222vvv娱乐网在线| 青娱乐免费视频| 日韩成人在线免费视频| 亚洲国产精品无码久久久秋霞2 | 精品永久久福利一区二区| 国产内射999视频一区| 免费视频爱爱太爽了| 国产精品国产三级国产专播| 999在线视频精品免费播放观看| 女生喜欢让男生自己动漫| 一级做a毛片免费视频| 成年女人免费碰碰视频| 丰满人妻一区二区三区免费视频 | 国产精品香蕉在线一区| 国产精品99久久免费观看| 18禁止看的免费污网站| 国产精品美女视视频专区| gogo全球高清大胆亚洲| 女人张腿让男桶免费视频网站| 一级片黄色免费| 成人免费无码大片a毛片| 中文字幕乱码人妻综合二区三区| 日批日韩在线观看| 久久99精品久久久久久水蜜桃| 欧美老肥妇BBWBBWBBWPICS| 亚洲色精品vr一区二区三区| 狠狠躁日日躁夜夜躁2022麻豆| 做受视频120秒视频| 玉蒲团之天下第一| 亚洲色图视频在线观看|