Why has the renminbi exchange rate fallen again?

By Zhang Ming
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, March 4, 2014
Adjust font size:

The yuan's depreciation has reflected the central banks' intervention through market means. But judged from the present situation, two more potential issues still await solving.

First, how long will this round of the depreciation of the yuan last? Based on economic data, China's export growth in 2014 may still be robust, pushing the yuan to appreciate. But if the central bank keeps suppressing the market's intrinsic demand, would the yuan's exchange rate burst into a rebound once the PBC's intervention ends?

Second, will the PBC normalize such intervention measures? Even if the yuan maintains a slight appreciation trend against the dollar, will the PBC still, from time to time, cause the yuan to depreciate so as to squeeze the arbitrageurs, and develop the measure into the China's own version of the Tobin tax?

The central bank's new measure is certainly worth supporting, though it is bound to be short-lived. The intervention measures, which the central bank is confident in, are after all risky, since no one can intervene in the market forever.

Also, the cost of intervention is often shown in a suppressed finance market, such as the 20 percent reserve requirement and the actual negative deposit interest, seen in previous years.

This year should be a prime opportunity for the PBC to lower its intervention over the foreign exchange market in China, so that the exchange rate can remain volatile in both directions. The central bank should make the most of the chance, rather than indulge in clever intervention measures.

The author is a researcher with the Research Center for International Finance, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

The article was translated by Chen Boyuan. Its original unabridged version was published in Chinese.

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

 

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
   Previous   1   2   3  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产乱人伦AV在线麻豆A| 激情欧美日韩一区二区| 国产欧美精品AAAAAA片| 中文字幕精品一区| 波多野结衣在线不卡| 国产制服丝袜在线观看| 日韩一区二三区国产好的精华液| 成人中文字幕在线观看| 亚洲欧美不卡视频在线播放| 超碰色偷偷男人的天堂| 国产精品久久久久影视不卡 | 黑寡妇被绿巨人擦gif图| 女神校花乳环调教| 久久综合九色综合网站| 欧美性xxxxx极品娇小| 嗯!啊!使劲用力在线观看| 2019国产麻豆剧传媒视| 夜夜影院未满十八勿进| www成人在线观看| 快穿之青梅竹马女配| 久草热久草视频| 欧美丰满白嫩bbw激情| 十分钟免费视频高清完整版www| 免费在线视频a| 国产精品国产香蕉在线观看网| 91麻豆最新在线人成免费观看| 夜间禁用10大b站| gogogo高清在线观看中国| 日韩中文在线观看| 亚洲AV无码之日韩精品| 欧美a视频在线观看| 免费一级欧美片在线观免看| 麻豆精产国品一二三产品区| 国产精品igao视频网| 182tv免费视视频线路一二三 | 亚洲a∨无码男人的天堂| 男人操女人网站| 免费观看大片毛片| 精品亚洲麻豆1区2区3区| 国产免费插插插| 香蕉久久国产精品免|