How did the Chinese miracle occur? (I)

By Shi Zhengfu
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, February 9, 2014
Adjust font size:

Editor's note: This is the first part of an article by Shi Zhengfu, director of Center for New Political Economy, Fudan University and chairman of Comway Capital Group.

There is reason to say that the socialist market economy with Chinese characteristics has backed China's miracle.

Some people argue that China's rapid growth is a result of excessive investment and sacrificing consumption, which is true. Over the past three or four decades, consumption has contributed an average of 59 percent to GDP growth, whereas investment has constituted 38 percent.

The proportion of consumption in growth, in comparison with more established market economies, is indeed too low. But one cannot neglect the scale of consumption in China; its people's purchasing power has grown remarkably.

During the same period, China's total spending rose to 23 trillion yuan (US$3.77 trillion) in 2011 from 200 billion yuan (US$32.79 billion) in 1979, representing 9.0 percent annual growth and a 7.9-percent climb on a per capita basis, both in terms of constant prices. The figures have dwarfed most other countries.

Other people think over-investment has resulted in wasting resources. This is partly true. China's investment rate is not only distinctly higher than those of Western countries, but is also much higher than some eastern Asian economies, which have higher saving rates. The high investment rate did not cause a high level of waste, but high growth.

A simple index to measure return on investment efficiency is the capital output ratio, meaning how much investment is needed to produce each yuan of GDP.

According to this calculation, China has performed well. In the first decade since the Reform and Opening Up, the capital output ratio in China was 3.38. That figure increased to 4.10 over the last decade. Horizontally, the U.S. capital output ratio between 1965 and 2010 was 5.29, while during 2005-2009 period, due to the financial crisis, it soared to 22.64.

Historically, China's GDP efficiency has dropped a little. The reason was not overinvestment, but the development of heavy industry and massive urbanization. As this process continues and the tertiary industry expands, China's capital output ratio is expected to remain stable or even slide a bit.

There are even voices that argue that China's demographic dividend contributed to its rapid growth. China's large population did contribute largely to the economy, but one also has to take into account the continuous rise of productivity, mainly from technical innovation.

It is fair to say the miracle in China's rapid development has not relied on pressing consumption, or a result of low efficiency. So, how did China develop so fast?

(To be continued on February 10. )

Shi Zhengfu is director of Center for New Political Economy, Fudan University and chairman of Comway Capital Group.

The article was translated by Chen Boyuan. Its original unabridged version was published in Chinese.

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

 

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 看久久久久久A级毛片| 黑人巨茎大战欧美白妇| 小说专区亚洲春色校园| 久久久无码精品亚洲日韩按摩| 欧美在线黄色片| 亚洲精品自在在线观看| 粉色视频在线播放| 和朋友共享娇妻高hh| 西西人体www高清大胆视频| 国产成人综合久久亚洲精品| 2020因为爱你带字幕免费观看全集| 大香网伊人久久综合观看| 一区精品麻豆入口| 成人爽a毛片在线视频网站| 久久久久久久久久久久久久久| 日韩在线视频免费| 亚洲AV福利天堂一区二区三| 欧美喷潮久久久XXXXx| 亚洲福利精品一区二区三区| 男女做爽爽视频免费观看| 北条麻妃在线观看视频| 美女网站一区二区三区| 国产一区二区三区精品视频| 高级秘密俱乐部的娇妻| 国产真实乱子伦视频播放| 120秒男女动态视频免费| 国产麻豆精品原创| 99久久综合狠狠综合久久aⅴ| 天天欲色成人综合网站| xxxxx性欧美hd另类| 小雪与门卫老头全文阅读| 中文字幕一区二区三区日韩精品 | 亚洲欧美精品伊人久久| 焰灵姬你下面好紧| 人夫的堕落变装| 狠狠热免费视频| 亚洲黄色网址大全| 激情欧美日韩一区二区| 亚洲系列第一页| 欧美黑人乱大交| 亚洲欧美一区二区久久|