Why I oppose opening capital account

By Justin Yifu Lin
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, August 18, 2013
Adjust font size:

FDI which has directly flowed into the real economy contributes to capital accumulation, technological innovation and industrial upgrading without problems of term mismatch between short term loans and long term investments or mismatch between domestic and foreign currencies. FDI also offers benefits such as advanced technologies, managerial experience and foreign markets.

Therefore, without consideration of national defense security or nationalism, the advantages of FDI in opening a capital account outweigh its disadvantages. Singapore's success is an example of this. China has become the top destination of FDI since its reform and opening up and subsequently FDI plays an important role in China's rapid economic growth.

Allowing domestic financial institutions or enterprises to borrow internationally and invest the money domestically in line with comparative advantages would seem to be beneficial to the real economy. Nonetheless, when profits fall due to fluctuations, it may become difficult to keep up with interest payments.

South Korea faced this challenge during the East Asian financial crisis of 1997 and almost suffered it again when the 2008 global financial crisis hit. It avoided this problem in the end by signing a currency swap agreement with the United States.

Furthermore, it is hard for a country to ensure that its banks or enterprises will invest foreign loans in domestic industries with comparative advantages. They may invest in "catch-up" industries, the speculative property market, the stock market, or even in expanding consumer credit. If domestic productivity or exports are not competitive enough, term mismatch, currency mismatch or other problems will arise when the time comes to pay back the debt. Thailand during the Asian financial crisis and the economies in southern and eastern Europe during the 2008 global financial crisis are classic examples.

Although allowing banks and enterprises to borrow abroad would boost domestic investment and consumption in the short term, such actions often cause a financial crisis. Therefore, the disadvantages outweigh the advantages.

Short term capital usually flows into the real estate and stock markets instead of the real economy. It contributes little to increasing productivity and instead can produce bubbles.

If the amount of capital inflow increases, this will entail a real exchange rate appreciation which can be realized in two ways. With the free-floating exchange rate, the rise of a nominal exchange rate can lead to a rise of real exchange rate. In return, any appreciation of the real exchange rate will weaken one's competitiveness in terms of export and slow down economic growth. Meanwhile, the speculative short term capital inflow in stock and property markets is bound to outflow and induce a false sense of prosperity.

Opening capital account increases economic volatility

The U.S. dollar was once the only gold-pegged currency in the world, with other nations having to reserve dollars when issuing currencies before. Yet ever since the collapse of Bretton Woods System in 1971, the U.S. Federal Reserve has implemented inflation-oriented policies. These policies include that when capital outflow occurs, the currency does not peg against the gold. The Federal Reserve then can increase the quantity of money to maintain economic stability and as a result, the U.S. was able to ease its control over money capital outflow.

Wall Street bankers became the most active advocators of capital account opening in return for a fat arbitrage profit on the international market, even pushing forward financial liberation in developed countries. In 2007, the profit gained by Wall Street investment banks and financial institutions accounted for some 40 percent of the total U.S. economic profits.

Some American scholars advocate for opening a capital account in developing economies as their theories do not differentiate between financial and real capital. Currency or term mismatches do not occur in their theory; neither does the exchange between virtual capital from the reserve currency issuing country and the real goods and services from other countries. There are no industrial structure differences or technological gaps between developing and developed countries. In short, according to their theoretical model, opening a capital account seems to be the perfect solution to the capital shortage in developing countries. And as a result, those Wall Street banks and international financial institutions are walking tall on asking developing countries to open their capital accounts.

   Previous   1   2   3   Next  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 人妖视频在线观看专区| 国产校园另类小说区| 中文字幕第二十页| 日韩国产欧美在线观看一区二区| 亚洲成人福利在线观看| 爱情岛论坛网亚洲品质自拍| 冲田杏梨在线中文字幕全集| 色视频在线观看视频| 国产女合集六超多超嫩部| 色噜噜视频影院| 国产精品林美惠子在线播放 | 欧美日韩免费看| 亚洲精品第一国产综合野| 男男chinese同志gay露脸飞机| 午夜老司机福利| 美女污污视频网站| 国产一区中文字幕| 贵妇肉体销魂阅读| 国产在线精品一区二区夜色| 国产在视频线精品视频2021| 欧美在线暴力性xxxx| 夜夜揉揉日日人人| www四虎影院| 婷婷色天使在线视频观看| 东北美女野外bbwbbw免费| 成年女人毛片免费视频| 久久九九热视频| 日韩中文字幕网| 久久成人国产精品一区二区 | 嗯嗯啊在线观看网址| 色久综合网精品一区二区| 国产主播福利一区二区| 里番acg全彩| 国产交换配乱婬视频| 青柠直播视频在线观看网| 国产在线一卡二卡| 韩国成人毛片aaa黄| 国产午夜精品一区二区三区不卡| 麻豆久久婷婷综合五月国产| 国产小视频福利| 饥渴艳妇小说官途欲妇|