A time to end 'investment hunger'

By Tan Haojun
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, July 12, 2013
Adjust font size:

As long as the government works hard on its plans for "revitalization" reforms and does not make the "investment hunger" mistake again, China won't suffer inflation. [File photo]

China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June of 2013 rose 2.7 percent compared with the same period of last year, according to the latest economic data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on July 9. However, the Producer Price Index (PPI) fell 2.7 percent compared with that over the same period of last year, and declined 0.6 percent from that of May.

The worsening trend is the result of the abnormal production and operation of enterprises caused by an insufficient market demand. A severe shortage in productive demands caused for the PPI to lack strong support and spiral down into its negative operation. In addition to the failing market demand, the decline also depended on industries' excess production capacity, which leads to serious imbalances in economic structure as well as imbalances on the consumption market.

Clearly, the problems such as an imbalance of economic structure or the excess production capacity of some industries are related to the excessive emphasis on investment a few years ago. China is now harvesting the bitter crops caused by its "investment hunger."

To be honest, for developing countries like China, investment is an important factor to push forward economic growth. To some extent, it is the most important factor. However, it is neither the universal method nor the only way. On the one hand, investment has requirements in terms of structure, efficiency and quality. It also needs to consider other factors – overall number of investment, scale control, structured distribution, layout and regional coordination – in order to promote the quality and efficiency of the investment.

If the government just focuses on the number and scale of investment, rather than considering quality, efficiency and layout, it will impose a discount on an investment's function within the economy. Even if it has some effect over a short period of time, it is not sustainable. More importantly, its negative function will be enlarged following the increase of the investment.

On the other hand, its promotional function should tightly coordinate with export and especially with consumption, which should be the most important condition for any investment. The arrangement of investments has to serve consumption and comply with the consumer demand.

Although China witnessed this "investment hunger" in the 1980s and 1990s, it was based on a real economy. Investment mainly depended on bank loans, so whenever a high demand for investment appeared, it was easy to regulate through credit. In addition, as China was facing unprecedented good export conditions during the 1997 Asian financial crisis, the contribution of investment to the growth of national economy was positive and obvious.

However, since entering the 21 century, the real estate market has opened up and various financing tools were made available. Local governments' passion for investment soared. Instead of making productive investments, investments in non-productive projects – urban construction, infrastructure construction and real estate development – became the force majeure to promote economic development. What's worse, social resources also transferred onto non-productive projects, making the inside of a previously real economy turn hollow.

Of even greater importance was the over-intervention of governments in investment, resulting in the increasingly weaker functioning of the market mechanism in the allocation of social resources. When the 2008 financial crisis broke out, China's 4 trillion yuan stimulus to boost the economy caused the "investment hunger" to go into overdrive. This forced the nation's new leaders now to adopt a more prudent monetary policy.

The key to avoid any future "investment hunger" depends on whether or not China has learned from the past. Only time will tell. According to current local government targets, they still tend to clutch onto urban construction and real estate when seeking investment opportunities. Some experts also wonder to what extent the new central government's plans for urbanization will be affected by "investment hunger," becoming investment dependence tools for local governments.

Most recently, the State Council proposed two "revitalization" reforms, i.e. to "revitalize the money supply" and "revitalize the financial stock funds." These reforms may effectively battle "investment hunger." However, whether they can be smoothly implemented, remains to be seen. If the money supply can be revitalized, it can improve the overall economic structure and growth pattern so as to upgrade China's economy and industry. Additionally, if the financial stock funds can be better utilized, this may realize the coordinated development of economy and society, and relieve the lagging problems of social undertakings and public services -- consequently enhancing the efficiency of society's resource utilization.

The author is a news commentator.

This article was translated by Lu Na. The original unabridged version was published in Chinese.

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 浮力影院国产第一页| 视频一区视频二区在线观看 | 新版天堂中文在线8官网| 乱人伦老妇女东北| 欧美人与牲动交a欧美精品| 亚洲精品视频在线观看你懂的| 精品国产www| 嘟嘟嘟www免费高清在线中文 | 久久天天躁狠狠躁夜夜中文字幕| 欧美国产日产片| 亚洲欧美日韩成人网| 99色在线观看| 成人免费草草视频| 丰满人妻熟妇乱又伦精品| 日本韩国视频在线观看| 亚洲AV无码AV吞精久久| 欧美另类videosgratis妇| 亚洲欧洲另类春色校园网站 | 欧美日韩不卡中文字幕在线| 亚洲精品视频在线观看免费| 狠狠色噜噜狠狠狠狠7777米奇 | 2018天天弄| 国模一区二区三区| 99热在线只有精品| 日本最刺激夫妇交换影片| 亚洲AV永久无码天堂网| 欧美三级在线播放| 亚洲国产成人久久一区二区三区| 欧美老少配xxxxx| 亚洲熟女综合色一区二区三区| 翁熄性放纵交换| 国产一级淫片视频免费看| 陪读妇乱子伦小说| 国产伦精品一区二区三区四区| 高中生的放荡日记h| 国产在线五月综合婷婷| 麻豆精品一区二区综合av| 国产性天天综合网| 黄色特级片黄色特级片| 国产在视频线精品视频| 韩国理论电影午夜三级717|