亚洲精品久久久久久一区二区_99re热久久这里只有精品34_久久免费高清视频_一区二区三区不卡在线视频

 

An awesome decade of growth - and fallacy

By John Ross
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, August 3, 2012
Adjust font size:

China is rapidly approaching its once-in-a-decade change in president and government, which seems an appropriate time to survey the country's economic performance over the last decade. As the economic data for 2012 is not yet in, the decade will be taken as 2001-2011. Strictly speaking, this period includes a year of China's previous administration; but this is merely a statistical quibble as nine-tenths of the period was overseen by the present government.

A cargo ship is loaded at a container berth in Huanghua Port of Cangzhou, Hebei Province [Yang Shiyao]

Some statistics over that ten year period are well known: China became the world's second largest economy and the world's largest goods exporter. But such statistics greatly underestimate the scale of China's economic achievement. The last 10 years in China's economy may be summed up in two overwhelming facts which place all other economic data in context.

???? ? In the last decade China experienced the fastest growth in GDP per capita of any major economy in human history.

???? ??Translated into living standards, this means that in the last 10 years, China has experienced by far the fastest consumption growth rate of any major economy.

As these are astonishing achievements it is worth giving the exact data.

China's annual average GDP per capita growth in the last ten year period was 9.9 percent. The total increase in GDP per capita over the decade was 158 percent. Historically, as shown in World Bank data, and for earlier periods in Angus Maddison's standard work World Population, GDP and GDP Per Capita 1-2006AD, this makes China's the fastest rate of increase ever recorded by a major economy. This figure is all the more extraordinary when one considers that it includes the period since 2008, which has seen the most serious international economic crisis for 80 years.

In terms of contemporary economic comparisons, no other major economy remotely approaches China's scale of economic growth during this 10 year period. The data for the largest G7 economies, the BRICS countries and South Korea, are set out in Table 1. China's 158 percent increase in GDP per capita over the period is almost twice that of the next best performing major economy - India. In addition, China's growth was two-and-a-half times Russia's, more than three times South Korea's, seven times Germany's and twenty times U.S.'s.

As a foundationless myth is peddled in some sections of the media that China's economic growth has not been translated into an increase in its population's consumption, it is also worth giving data for this. As all countries' statistics for 2011 are not yet available, the period 2000-2010 will be taken. The total increase in China's consumption per capita in that period was 103 percent - again the highest recorded by any major economy. The data is set out in Table 2. Only Russia's increase in consumption compares to China's - and Russia's was, in significant part, due to its recovery from a long period of depression. China's total rate of increase in consumption was 57% higher than India's, three times South Korea's, almost 10 times that of the U.S., and almost sixteen times that of Germany. In short, far from being slow, China's consumption growth rate was far more rapid than that of any other major economy.

This achievement also casts light on another issue -denial of elementary economic facts by those who regularly predicted that China's economy would fail during this period. It would take too much space to make a comprehensive list, so here are some highlights.

????? ? Fallacy: The Economist magazine's special supplement, 'Out of puff', published in June 2002, claimed: "in the coming decade, therefore, China seems set to become more unstable. It will face growing unrest as unemployment mounts."' It argued: '"the [Chinese] economy still relies primarily on domestic engines of growth, which are sputtering. Growth over the last five years has relied heavily on massive government spending. As a result, the government's debt is rising fast. Coupled with the banks bad loans and the state's huge pension liabilities, this is a financial crisis in the making."

????? ? Reality: Instead of 'crisis,' China experienced the most rapid growth ever in GDP per capita of any major economy.

????? ? Fallacy: Gordon Chang predicted in The Coming Collapse of China in 2002 that: "A half-decade ago the leaders of the People's Republic of China had real choices. Today they do not. They have no exit. They have run out of time."

????? ? Reality: Instead of 'collapse' China experienced unprecedentedly rapid economic growth.

????? ? Fallacy: When the international financial crisis erupted, Michael Pettis of Beijing University in 2009 reiterated: "I continue to stand by my comment [made] last year... that the US would be the first major economy out of the crisis and China one of the last."

????? ? Reality: In fact, in the four years since the international financial crisis began, China's economy has grown by 40 percent and the U.S. economy by 1 percent.

Such statements, and many more could be given, are not errors of predictions on details, which are inevitable; they are examples of analyses which simply got it wrong in predicting the entire trajectory of China's economy. To predict 'sputtering', 'crisis' or 'collapse' when China experienced the most rapid per capita economic growth of any major country in human history would, if rational standards of debate were used, lead to the discounting of future prognostications based on these analyses. It is a measure of unscientific bias that Gordon Chang continues to be retained as a 'China expert' by Forbes and that Michael Pettis is still printed in the Financial Times predicting three percent growth in China. Given their prolonged failure to withstand the test of facts, such views may be discounted.

Do China's quite extraordinary economic achievements mean that it is free from any problems? Evidently not, but it simply means that they must be placed in context. No other major country in human history has ever experienced such rapid per capita economic growth as China in the last ten years, and no other major economy has witnessed such a rapid growth in the population's consumption in the last decade. These are truly awesome economic facts. Anyone who believes in rational fact based economic discussion has to register not only the scale of such an extraordinary achievement but also how completely it refuted the analyses of those predicting any deep crisis in China's economy.

文本框: Table 1 Increase in GDP Per Capita 2001-2011   $ US at constant prices   Annual % increase Total % increase Total Increase as % of China's China 9.9% 158.2% - India 6.1% 80.2% 50.7% Russia 5.0% 63.2% 39.9% South Korea 3.6% 43.0% 27.2% Brazil 2.7% 30.1% 19.0% Germany 1.2% 12.2% 7.7% UK 0.8% 8.7% 5.5% US 0.7% 7.3% 4.6% Japan 0.6% 6.0% 3.8% France 0.4% 4.6% 2.9% Source: Calculated from World Bank World Development Indicators.

文本框: Table 2 Increase in Total Consumption Per Capita 2000-2010   $ US at constant prices   Annual % increase Total % increase China’s Consumption Increase in Comparison China 7.3% 103.2% - Russia 7.3% 101.9% +1.3% India 5.2% 65.9% +56.6% South Korea 2.9% 33.6% +207.1% Brazil 2.4% 28.7% +259.6% UK 1.3% 13.3% +675.9% US 1.1% 11.1% +829.7% France 1.0% 10.7% +864.5% Germany 0.7% 6.7% +1,440.3% Japan n/a n/a n/a Source: Calculated from World Bank World Development Indicators.

The author is a columnist with China.org.cn. For more information please visit: http://www.ccgp-fushun.com/opinion/johnross.htm

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
亚洲精品久久久久久一区二区_99re热久久这里只有精品34_久久免费高清视频_一区二区三区不卡在线视频
亚洲欧美一区二区三区极速播放| 亚洲国产经典视频| 黄色亚洲在线| 国产日韩欧美成人| 国产久一道中文一区| 国产精品成人观看视频免费| 欧美三级在线播放| 欧美日韩色婷婷| 欧美片第1页综合| 欧美久久久久久蜜桃| 欧美大片免费观看在线观看网站推荐 | 日韩午夜免费| 日韩一区二区免费高清| 99天天综合性| 一区二区三区免费观看| 中国女人久久久| 亚洲图中文字幕| 亚洲免费一级电影| 欧美一级视频精品观看| 欧美一区二区在线| 久久久久久久久久久成人| 久久综合国产精品| 欧美国产日韩在线观看| 欧美日韩国产区| 欧美无砖砖区免费| 国产精品久久久久毛片软件 | 亚洲一区二区三区影院| 午夜精品免费| 久久se精品一区精品二区| 亚洲国产mv| 日韩一级精品| 亚洲欧美综合v| 久久久亚洲成人| 欧美福利电影网| 欧美日韩在线播| 国产麻豆成人精品| 激情综合久久| 日韩一二三区视频| 亚洲欧美在线网| 亚洲欧洲另类| 亚洲一区尤物| 久久免费的精品国产v∧| 欧美国产在线电影| 国产精品美女| 亚洲电影免费观看高清| aa级大片欧美| 久久精品免费播放| 亚洲视频碰碰| 久久精品国产77777蜜臀 | 欧美连裤袜在线视频| 国产精品青草久久久久福利99| 国产啪精品视频| 亚洲国产精品综合| 亚洲欧美日韩另类精品一区二区三区| 久久精品水蜜桃av综合天堂| 亚洲另类一区二区| 欧美一区二区三区在线观看视频 | 麻豆精品精品国产自在97香蕉| 欧美精品一区二区三区很污很色的 | 亚洲二区精品| 亚洲香蕉伊综合在人在线视看| 久久精品国产欧美亚洲人人爽 | 国产精品99久久久久久www| 欧美一级午夜免费电影| 欧美二区乱c少妇| 国产精品手机视频| 亚洲欧洲日产国产网站| 性欧美xxxx大乳国产app| 99re国产精品| 久久人人爽人人爽爽久久| 欧美手机在线| 亚洲第一色在线| 午夜在线a亚洲v天堂网2018| 日韩视频永久免费观看| 欧美在线视频观看| 欧美日韩国产影院| 国产亚洲欧美一区二区| 夜夜爽99久久国产综合精品女不卡| 亚洲毛片播放| 性色av一区二区三区红粉影视| 久久爱www久久做| 欧美日韩国产123| 韩国三级在线一区| 亚洲天堂免费在线观看视频| 亚洲久久一区二区| 久久久久一区| 国产精品久久久亚洲一区| 亚洲国产婷婷香蕉久久久久久99| 午夜精品亚洲一区二区三区嫩草| 一区二区三区视频在线| 女女同性精品视频| 国产一区二区三区四区hd| 亚洲图片欧洲图片av| 夜夜嗨网站十八久久| 免费在线国产精品| 国产亚洲欧美日韩美女| 亚洲欧美在线免费观看| 亚洲免费视频成人| 欧美日韩综合在线免费观看| 91久久久国产精品| 亚洲黄色有码视频| 老司机aⅴ在线精品导航| 国产亚洲一级高清| 欧美一级播放| 性欧美1819sex性高清| 欧美午夜片在线观看| 日韩天堂在线观看| 99国产精品一区| 欧美精品偷拍| 亚洲久久视频| 一区二区三区 在线观看视| 欧美精品手机在线| 亚洲精品影视在线观看| 亚洲九九精品| 欧美激情精品久久久久久久变态| 亚洲高清久久网| 亚洲三级电影在线观看| 欧美1区免费| 亚洲高清精品中出| 亚洲精品一区二区在线观看| 欧美高清成人| 亚洲黄色在线观看| 日韩午夜av在线| 欧美日韩卡一卡二| 一区二区三区日韩| 午夜精品理论片| 国产美女精品一区二区三区| 午夜精品免费| 久久先锋影音| 亚洲国产成人在线播放| 一本大道久久a久久精二百| 欧美三级免费| 亚洲一区二区三区高清不卡| 欧美一区二区视频在线观看| 国产一区二区三区精品欧美日韩一区二区三区 | 欧美中文字幕久久| 美日韩精品免费| 亚洲风情亚aⅴ在线发布| 亚洲精品在线二区| 欧美日韩综合久久| 亚洲欧美日韩综合| 久久夜色精品| 亚洲人成网站色ww在线| 中日韩高清电影网| 国产精品亚洲激情| 久久国产成人| 欧美国产精品v| 中文日韩欧美| 久久精品日韩一区二区三区| 亚洲成人原创| 亚洲一二三区在线| 国产亚洲福利| 亚洲精品免费在线播放| 欧美视频官网| 久久国产一二区| 欧美国产亚洲视频| 亚洲视频在线观看一区| 久久久美女艺术照精彩视频福利播放| 亚洲第一福利视频| 亚洲一区影音先锋| 国内精品国产成人| 一本久久青青| 国产丝袜一区二区三区| 亚洲精品久久久久| 国产精品毛片a∨一区二区三区|国 | 国产日韩欧美a| 日韩视频永久免费| 国产精品中文字幕在线观看| 亚洲第一在线| 欧美婷婷在线| 亚洲第一色中文字幕| 国产精品va在线| 亚洲高清电影| 国产精品v欧美精品v日韩精品| 久久成人一区| 欧美日韩性生活视频| 久久精品国产欧美激情| 欧美色另类天堂2015| 亚洲国产女人aaa毛片在线| 欧美视频在线观看一区| 亚洲国产精品一区二区第四页av| 欧美日韩中文字幕在线| 久久精品国产清高在天天线 | 午夜亚洲精品| 欧美久久精品午夜青青大伊人| 午夜一区在线| 欧美特黄一级大片| 亚洲人线精品午夜| 国产一区二区三区的电影 | 亚洲欧美日韩精品| 欧美精选午夜久久久乱码6080| 先锋影音一区二区三区| 欧美日韩不卡| 亚洲第一色在线| 国产精品一区二区三区久久| 一本色道久久综合精品竹菊| 精品成人国产在线观看男人呻吟| 亚洲自拍啪啪| 亚洲精品一级| 美女国产精品|