Looking ahead in China's slowing economy

By Zhang Lijuan
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, March 16, 2012
Adjust font size:

 I drink your milkshake [By Jiao Haiyang/China.org.cn]

?I drink your milkshake [By Jiao Haiyang/China.org.cn]

The decision to slow down economic growth by the Chinese government caused worldwide concerns. It seems when China gets a cold, the world sneezes. The key is finding how the slowdown will affect China and the rest of the world.

China, in all respects, is a unique country. Its 30 years of economic reform has created a new model of growth, although it may not be applicable for any other developing nations.

After a period of pragmatic review of China's growth, its top leaders have decided to re-evaluate the growth model and to focus more on improving its people's livelihood. Indeed, from the Chinese central government to the general public, it has long been understood that China's current economic system is neither sustainable nor healthy. Some scholars argue that China will surpass the U.S. as the world's superpower, but most other Chinese are rather sapient in the country's outlook.

"Made in China" for years had been the tagline of the engine driving for China's economic growth – cheap labor and environmental sacrifices. Now, the era of its low cost manpower is coming to an end. Employers in "Made-in-China" factories have been suffering from labor shortage since 2008, and environmental agencies are ramping up efforts to control pollutants in water and on land. To this end, a slowing down of its economy is a good sign. However, it is questionable as to whether an economic slowdown will restore an already devastated environment. Furthermore, to what extent can the Chinese government effectively address such issues at both the local and provincial levels?

Externally, because China is losing its advantages in low cost labor, Chinese exports are facing extreme difficulties in shrinking overseas markets. Internally, exporters are having a hard time in getting financial support from state-owned banks. In the latest economic reports, China's exports have declined dramatically in the first two months of the year, resulting in its first trade deficit in a decade. Its trade balance will risk further slide for the rest of this year. Having long relied on its exports, China is more sensitive than ever to external demands – particularly the economic recoveries in the U.S. and the EU.

For a fairly long time, China has been cash-rich with sufficient capital and investment. With US$3.2 trillion in foreign reserves, the Chinese government could invest generously in just about any projects it desires as part of any foreseeable stimulus plan. Unfortunately, China's apparent wealth is only skin-deep, which can be exposed by mismanagements of its assets.

Take railroads as an example. To stimulate the economy, the Chinese government invested hundreds of billions of RMB in high-speed railways. However, financial operators overestimated Chinese citizens' spending abilities in pricing the tickets, and traveler volume on high-speed railways has been far below capacity.

In comparison with other countries, the Chinese government has been granted almost unlimited spending power, but taxpayers have little say as to how the government spends their tax money. Nevertheless, with regard to the role of government in the economy, the huge capacity of government investments has been seen as the workhorse of Chinese economic stimulus strategy.

It is time for a change. China needs to transfer its economy from one of government investment to one of domestic consumption. Hopefully, a lower targeted economic growth will allow local governments to work more efficiently on supporting social welfare, such as assisting low-earning families and individuals.

Promoting growth in rural regions is another key to China's continued success. China has a long history of prejudice against rural life and farmers. With urbanization as part of its development strategy, China is becoming more urban and less agricultural. China's agriculture has been left far behind in its efforts to globalize its economy, and the cost of this omission may be much higher than the government has anticipated. China's soybean and corn supplies now rely heavily on imports from the U.S. It is hard to imagine a nation with such a huge population having to survive with such a high dependency on imported food and grain.

Moreover, China's key trading partners do not favor China's growing stature. Earlier this week, U.S. President Barack Obama vowed to move strongly against China on "rare earth materials." At this particular time ahead of its presidential election, other U.S. politicians would also be more than happy to hammer China down on any issues involving American voters' interests. There will no winners in a bilateral trade war. When China's growth slows, the U.S. will suffer more than its politicians could expect.

It is a tough time for China. The slowdown signals challenges ahead for the country as well as the rest of the world.

The author is a columnist with China.org.cn. For more information please visit: http://www.ccgp-fushun.com/opinion/zhanglijuan.htm

Opinion articles reflect the views of their authors, not necessarily those of China.org.cn.

 

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 免费看美女被靠到爽| 国语自产拍天天在线| 亚洲国产精品久久久天堂| 色列有妖气acg全彩本子| 国产精品麻豆入口| 中文字字幕在线| 欧美1区2区3区| 免费中日高清无专码有限公司| 国产免费插插插| 夜夜高潮天天爽欧美| 久久99热精品这里久久精品| 欧美人与物VIDEOS另类| 免费久久人人爽人人爽av| 要灬要灬再深点受不了看| 国产精品国产亚洲精品看不卡 | 成人福利网址永久在线观看| 亚洲中文字幕久在线| 狼人大香伊蕉国产WWW亚洲| 国产伦精品一区二区三区| 51在线视频免费观看视频| 小受被多男摁住—灌浓精| 久久婷婷香蕉热狠狠综合| 欧美最猛黑人猛交69| 免费观看一级欧美在线视频| 韩国激情3小时三级在线观看| 国产精品美女一区二区三区| 一个人看的日本www| 日本免费精品视频| 亚洲伦理一区二区| 男人边吃奶边爱边做视频国产| 国产乱了真实在线观看| 69xxxx日本| 在线中文字幕播放| 一男n女高h后宫| 日本一道高清不卡免费| 亚洲av无码日韩av无码网站冲| 波多野结衣av无码久久一区| 内射毛片内射国产夫妻| 视频黄页在线观看| 国产欧美日韩综合精品一区二区 | 国产日韩欧美二区|