Arab unrest will shake oil prices, global finance

0 CommentsPrint E-mail Global Times, April 1, 2011
Adjust font size:

 

?[By Liu Rui/Global Times]

Recently the political unrest sweeping through the Arab world has caused tremendous damage to the domestic economy and living conditions of those countries within its range. Its severe consequences will be exposed further in the future, and the international staple commodities and capital market are in turmoil.

The economy in these regions is already weak, characterized by over-dependence on the oil industry, which distorts local economies.

Oil wealth affects exchange rates and siphons attention and investment away from manufacturing. This pattern has been most visible in the Middle East, but even more developed countries such as the UK and Russia have encountered similar problems.

Political unrest has worsened the economic and political environment in the Middle East and North Africa. Resource exploitation industries, including oil and natural gas, have either entirely stopped or sharply reduced the production. Tourists are shunning the regions. National financial revenue is declining sharply while expenditure is increasing. Infrastructure construction is paralyzed completely. Young professional workers and foreign labor force are flowing out of the regions en masse.

Meanwhile, the political unrest in Arab countries, especially the Libyan war, has disturbed seriously the market for international staple commodities in the short term, stimulated capital flight in Arab countries and will cause many uncertainties in the commodity markets and global political situation for a long time to come.

If Western countries hadn't taken part in the Libya civil war, the prices of staple commodities around the world, especially the oil price, may be lower. The oil price rose suddenly in February due to the upheaval in Arab countries, especially the civil war in Libya.

With no foreign intervention, the civil war might have ended early and the high oil price could have been lowered.

However, the military intervention has forced oil prices higher. If the bombing seriously damages oil fields and transportation facilities in Libya, the lost production cannot be completely made up, even if Saudi Arabia and other countries increase their oil production.

Libya produced 1.6 million barrels of crude daily last year, 2 percent of global production. It is the 15th largest exporter in the world. Since the revolt began in February, Libya has been producing less than 400,000 barrels everyday. The European market is most affected, as much of the oil refining equipment in Europe can only use the light crude from Libya.

The leader of the rebels in Libya admitted that there were less than 1,000 professional soldiers in the army. The rebels lack of equipment, training, strict discipline and clear leadership. Even with the help of air strikes, they cannot defeat Gaddafi's forces anytime soon.

Even if they take control of the regime in the future, they cannot easily manage the territory and economy of the whole nation.

Oil production and export in Libya will not be steady for some time to come, which will continue to disturb the international petroleum market.

Meanwhile, ever since the oil price rose sharply in the 1970s, oil dollars from the Arab countries have been an important power in the international financial market.

The political upheaval and continuous wars in the region will certainly force huge amounts of Arab capital to be transferred from its own countries to safe havens, which may affect international financial market in many aspects, such as the exchange rate and assets price in international financial centers.

 

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 天堂www网最新版资源官网| 丰满人妻一区二区三区视频53| 热re99久久精品国99热| 四虎永久成人免费影院域名| 91丁香亚洲综合社区| 国产精品久久网| 99久久99久久免费精品小说| 好想找个男人狠狠的曰| 中文字幕亚洲一区二区va在线| 日本理论片理论免费| 久久青草国产精品一区| 欧美人与牲动交a欧美精品| 亚洲欧美日韩精品久久奇米色影视| 男女深夜爽爽无遮无挡我怕| 午夜无码伦费影视在线观看| 色久综合网精品一区二区| 国产亚洲美女精品久久久久| 国产一区二区三区乱码网站| 国产精品久久国产三级国不卡顿| 91自产拍在线观看精品| 大胸美女放网站| h视频在线观看免费网站| 小东西几天没做怎么这么多水| 中文字幕日本最新乱码视频| 日本一道在线日本一道高清不卡免费 | 青青青国产依人精品视频| 国产成人免费全部网站| 精品丝袜国产自在线拍亚洲| 国产精品va在线观看无码| 114级毛片免费观看| 国产精品热久久| 2019国产开嫩苞视频| 国产精品露脸国语对白| 91精品国产手机| 国产视频你懂得| 777精品成人影院| 国产精品视频免费一区二区| 500福利视频导航| 国产精品成人久久久| **一级毛片全部免| 国产精品久久久久久麻豆一区 |