East and West must cooperate or perish

By Martin Wolf
0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, January 25, 2011
Adjust font size:

Size matters. If we look only at China's average level of development, we see a country with much the same standard of living as Thailand. If we look only at China's size, we see the world's second largest economy, biggest exporter (if members of the European Union are treated as separate economies), second largest importer and holder of the largest foreign currency reserves.

China's leaders are, naturally and rightly, focused on sustaining stability and achieving prosperity. The rest of the world is, no less naturally and rightly, wondering how China will exercise its growing power and responsibility.

So far, despite the difficulties, the adjustment to China's rise has been remarkably successful, particularly if one considers the gulf in culture, history and political systems between China and incumbent powers. The Chinese economy has proved outstandingly dynamic and increasingly market-driven. The West, in turn, has accommodated itself to China's rise. That was the wise thing to do.

Contrast, for example, the devastating impact of US protectionism and the Great Depression of the interwar years with the increasingly open Chinese economy of the last three decades and the successful response of "Chinese Keynesianism" to the challenges of the recent "great recession". Consider, too, China's entry into the World Trade Organization and the world's impressive ability to adjust to the rapid rise in China's trade from just 4 percent of the world's total a decade ago to 10 percent today.

China, then, and the West both have much to be proud of. Yet that does not mean everything has gone smoothly. On the contrary, both sides have made sizable mistakes in managing their economic interactions over the past decade.

China, for example, allowed an extraordinary surge in exports and the current account surplus to mask the development of an increasingly unbalanced domestic economy. Chinese household consumption collapsed from an already very low share of 46 percent of GDP in 2000 to a mere 35 percent in 2008, while gross fixed capital formation jumped from 34 percent in 2000 to 41 percent in 2008 and 45 percent in 2009.

Partly as a result of its decision to suppress the appreciation of the exchange rate, China emerged as the world's largest surplus country, with a current account surplus peaking at more than 10 percent of GDP and foreign currency reserves of close to 50 percent of GDP. These investments were unwise, made as a result of inadequate policies. Hence, China should not complain about its consequent (and unnecessary) vulnerability to the United States' fiscal policy.

The US and a number of other Western countries allowed the supply of cheap foreign savings, partly from China, to help stimulate a huge surge in household debt, consumption, residential construction and financial sector leverage. While the excess savings of the emerging world were not the principal cause of the financial crisis, they were surely a contributory factor.

1   2   Next  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日本色图在线观看| aaa毛片免费观看| 直接在线观看的三级网址| 国产成人av在线影院| www.色亚洲| 最近高清中文国语在线观看 | 又黄又骚的网站| 青草视频入口在线观看| 国产极品美女高潮无套| www.天天色| 成人午夜在线视频| 亚洲av永久中文无码精品综合| 欧美高清69hd| 国产r67194吃奶视频| 国产精品27页| 国产精品内射久久久久欢欢| 99久re热视频这里只有精品6| 日产国语一区二区三区在线看| 久久综合伊人77777| 欧洲最强rapper网站在线看| 再灬再灬再灬深一点舒服| 免费人成在线观看69式小视频| 女人十八进入一及黄特别片| 三年片在线观看免费观看大全中国| 日b视频免费看| 久久久免费精品re6| 欧美日韩视频一区三区二区| 人人添人人妻人人爽夜欢视av| 粉色视频在线观看www免费| 又大又硬又爽又深免费看| 欧美成人777| 国产福利免费在线观看| 在线日本妇人成熟| 国产精品无码一区二区三级| 538国产视频| 小箩莉奶水四溅小说| 久久夜色精品国产欧美乱| 欧美日韩一区二区综合| 冬月枫亚洲高清在线观看| 给我免费播放片黄色| 又色又爽又黄的视频软件app |