East and West must cooperate or perish

By Martin Wolf
0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, January 25, 2011
Adjust font size:

Size matters. If we look only at China's average level of development, we see a country with much the same standard of living as Thailand. If we look only at China's size, we see the world's second largest economy, biggest exporter (if members of the European Union are treated as separate economies), second largest importer and holder of the largest foreign currency reserves.

China's leaders are, naturally and rightly, focused on sustaining stability and achieving prosperity. The rest of the world is, no less naturally and rightly, wondering how China will exercise its growing power and responsibility.

So far, despite the difficulties, the adjustment to China's rise has been remarkably successful, particularly if one considers the gulf in culture, history and political systems between China and incumbent powers. The Chinese economy has proved outstandingly dynamic and increasingly market-driven. The West, in turn, has accommodated itself to China's rise. That was the wise thing to do.

Contrast, for example, the devastating impact of US protectionism and the Great Depression of the interwar years with the increasingly open Chinese economy of the last three decades and the successful response of "Chinese Keynesianism" to the challenges of the recent "great recession". Consider, too, China's entry into the World Trade Organization and the world's impressive ability to adjust to the rapid rise in China's trade from just 4 percent of the world's total a decade ago to 10 percent today.

China, then, and the West both have much to be proud of. Yet that does not mean everything has gone smoothly. On the contrary, both sides have made sizable mistakes in managing their economic interactions over the past decade.

China, for example, allowed an extraordinary surge in exports and the current account surplus to mask the development of an increasingly unbalanced domestic economy. Chinese household consumption collapsed from an already very low share of 46 percent of GDP in 2000 to a mere 35 percent in 2008, while gross fixed capital formation jumped from 34 percent in 2000 to 41 percent in 2008 and 45 percent in 2009.

Partly as a result of its decision to suppress the appreciation of the exchange rate, China emerged as the world's largest surplus country, with a current account surplus peaking at more than 10 percent of GDP and foreign currency reserves of close to 50 percent of GDP. These investments were unwise, made as a result of inadequate policies. Hence, China should not complain about its consequent (and unnecessary) vulnerability to the United States' fiscal policy.

The US and a number of other Western countries allowed the supply of cheap foreign savings, partly from China, to help stimulate a huge surge in household debt, consumption, residential construction and financial sector leverage. While the excess savings of the emerging world were not the principal cause of the financial crisis, they were surely a contributory factor.

1   2   Next  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 精品一区二区三区免费毛片爱| 亚洲国产老鸭窝一区二区三区| 成人黄色小说网站| 亚洲av永久无码嘿嘿嘿| 欧美黄色大片免费观看| 尤物yw午夜国产精品视频| 亚洲日韩欧洲无码av夜夜摸| 被cao的合不拢腿的皇后| 国内精品久久久久久99蜜桃 | 久久无码人妻精品一区二区三区| 男女一进一出抽搐免费视频| 啊灬啊灬别停啊灬用力| 视频一区精品自拍| 国产大片在线观看| 欧美freesex黑人又粗超长| 天天看天天干天天操| 久久亚洲成a人片| 最新高清无码专区| 亚洲人成777在线播放| 欧美精品一区二区久久| 午夜dj在线观看免费高清在线| 色爱无码av综合区| 国产亚洲精品第一综合| 高清国语自产拍免费视频国产| 国内精品久久久久久久影视麻豆| kk4kk免费视频毛片| 日本中文字幕网| 亚洲国产欧美精品| 粗大挺进朋友孕妇| 午夜精品一区二区三区免费视频| 色噜噜成人综合网站| 国产精品99无码一区二区| 18av黄动漫在线观看| 宅男噜噜噜66网站| 丝袜诱惑中文字幕| 日韩在线不卡免费视频一区| 亚洲欧美日韩综合一区| 波多野结衣波多野结衣| 亚洲精品国产福利在线观看| 美女扒开尿口让男人桶进| 国产成人精品午夜福利在线播放|