Delicate act of holding US Treasuries

By Jin Baisong
0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, January 14, 2011
Adjust font size:

Since the moves of the US Federal Reserve System and Treasury Department have forced the dollar to decline, US Treasury bonds should have lost their charm. So, why does China continue to buy them?

China is the fastest-growing buyer of US Treasuries, and its foreign exchange reserves increased by $199 billion last year to reach $2.85 trillion. This has sparked concerns because there already is excessive liquidity in the Chinese market.

Yet China needs to hold the US Treasuries as an important way of safeguarding its economic security, given that the international financial order is dominated by the dollar.

Besides, the world's major financial institutions have given the Treasuries the thumbs-up sign in terms of security, liquidity, creditability and profitability. Going by this logic, China is justified in holding huge amounts of the Treasuries.

The question that arises is why Beijing is increasing its reserve of US Treasuries when it is beyond its reach to maintain its value, let alone make a profit out of them.

In a mature market economy, however, government departments should not take part in economic activities to make profit. And since China is leading its reform and opening-up on the basis of market economy, its departments, including the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), should follow this rule.

The truth is that the SAEC, in essence, does manage the reserve assets to earn profit. Possibly, it does so because China's market economic system is not yet mature.

To secure earnings through reserve asset management, the authorities may find the following tips helpful. First, China can use US asset management experience for reference. Keeping its foreign exchange reserves on a reasonable scale, say, around $500-800 billion, the SAFE can entrust the rest of the reserve assets with specialized financial institutions that can invest them in profitable ventures. China has already accumulated some experience in this field. For instance, it has set up some commercial investment companies and a national sovereign wealth fund.

The advantage of such a move is that, compared with government authorities, commercial organizations have access to a wider range of profitable financial products.

The government, however, has to set up an assessment mechanism to determine and oversee whether such institutions can make profit. And it should let the media and experts help supervise their operations.

Second, to manage its Treasuries' reserve, China needs to take US interests into account. Correspondingly, the US should shoulder its responsibility of stabilizing its currency. They have to do this because the economic and trade relations between them are so close that neither can afford to jeopardize bilateral strategic partnership.

Third, given the record growth in China's foreign exchange reserves, it should now consider increasing its gold reserve.

In fact, after Lehman Brothers went bankrupt in 2008 and triggered the global financial crisis, China should have used more of its foreign exchange reserves to buy gold, especially because its gold reserve was relatively small at that time.

Although China has been increasing its gold reserve since 2003, it remains trivial compared with its massive foreign exchange reserves. And because China now faces the challenge of having large foreign exchange reserves, its monetary authorities have more than enough reason to increase the country's gold reserve.

If China continues to accumulate more foreign exchange reserves, the international gold price may soar. Hence, the fourth advice is that China should retain (or increase) its reserves of US Treasuries on a balanced scale, because a drastic rise in the international price of gold can cause serious harm to the US currency.

China is thus protecting US interests and the international monetary system, which is still dominated by the dollar, by increasing its reserve of US Treasuries. But China has to be cautious against holding excessive amounts of US Treasuries, because it has to bear part of the shock if the price of gold rises drastically.

Last, it is important for China to maintain harmonious international relations. The rapid expansion of China's economy has increased its influence in the global community. If China, as the top US creditor, dumps its Treasuries reserve, the international community will probably be forced to indulge in panic selling and thus trigger a dollar crisis.

Such a move can hurt relations between China and the US.

Besides, it would be inconsistent with China's diplomatic policies, and weaken the country's economy and security. Therefore, China should weigh the pros and cons carefully before it disposes of the US Treasuries.

The author is a research scholar with the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, affiliated to the Ministry of Commerce.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 香蕉污视频在线观看| 国产午夜av秒播在线观看| 久久精品中文字幕首页| 精品国产精品久久一区免费式| 国产裸体舞一区二区三区| 久久免费国产视频| 狠狠色噜噜狠狠狠狠69| 国产成人精品福利色多多| 一区二区三区免费在线观看| 欧美乱xxxxxxxxx| 午夜人性色福利无码视频在线观看| 18禁无遮挡无码网站免费| 手机在线观看视频你懂的| 亚洲成综合人影院在院播放| 色五月五月丁香亚洲综合网| 大肉大捧一进一出好爽视频动漫| 久久婷婷五月综合国产尤物app | 欧美日韩电影在线观看| 国产a级午夜毛片| **一级毛片免费完整视| 成人18视频在线观看| 亚洲av无码电影网| 男人j放进女人p全黄| 国产偷窥熟女精品视频大全| 91成人高清在线播放| 斗鱼客服电话24小时人工服务热线| 亚洲欧洲日产国码AV系列天堂 | 好大好硬好爽免费视频| 久久天天躁狠狠躁夜夜2020一| 波多野结衣电影区一区二区三区| 国产亚洲男人的天堂在线观看 | 91成人午夜性a一级毛片| 成人欧美视频在线观看| 亚洲三级小视频| 狠狠色香婷婷久久亚洲精品| 国产人与禽zoz0性伦| 1313午夜精品理伦片| 女同午夜三级在线观看| 久久久久久九九精品久小说| 欧美一级日韩一级| 亚洲视频日韩视频|