China set to lead the rest of the economies

By Dan Steinbock
0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, November 23, 2010
Adjust font size:

Today, a deepening global divide sets the slow-growing US and other advanced economies against many emerging economies and commodity producing nations. The former are coping with deflation; the latter are struggling with inflation. The worldwide impact of the QE is only aggravating the chasm, as indicated by Germany's critique of US monetary policies and other rifts among the G20 nations.

After their gains in the US midterm election, leading Republicans have expressed "deep concerns" over the Fed's moves to stimulate the economy. The European Union is struggling to contain the debt crisis and sustain the euro. In Japan, public debt already accounts for more than 200 percent of GDP.

Only a decade ago, the advanced economies of North America, Western Europe and Japan drove the global growth. Today, the G7 nations are navigating into unchartered waters, with the potential of unpredictable outcomes and unprecedented collateral damage.

In the 1990s, emerging and developing economies were still dependent on the growth of the G7 economies. Global growth was predicated on the growing prosperity of the leading Western nations. In the past decade, this relationship went through a reversal. Today, the developing countries are dependent on the growth of China that, along with a handful of other large emerging economies, drives global growth.

Consequently, the emerging and developing economies - and especially those that have lower export similarities with China - have a vested interest in the gradual evolution of China's exchange rate, as noted by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

It is not in the interest of the developing world that China would be pushed into a disruptive, deflationary currency appreciation - which is what happened to Japan.

Between 1971 and the mid-1980s, the yen more than quadrupled relative to the US dollar. Then, the leading advanced economies agreed to allow the US dollar to depreciate in relation to the Japanese yen by intervening in the currency markets.

A few years later, Japan drifted into a long deflationary slump, a near-zero interest rate and heavily impaired bank balance sheets. It is still struggling to overcome the liquidity trap.

Such a future is not in the interest of China, or in the interest of the poor-income countries, which have greatly benefited from China as an engine of their recent growth. If anything, the decline of China's growth would significantly undermine poverty reduction in the emerging world.

The best way China can help support the world economy is through efforts to strengthen its own sustained growth. What is at stake in China's growth is not just national prosperity, but the future of poverty reduction in the developing world and the continued well-being in the advanced world.

The rest of the world of the world will take the same road that China takes.

The author is research director of International Business at the India, China and America Institute (US) and visiting fellow at Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (China).

   Previous   1   2  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲精品国产精品国自产观看| 国产黄色二级片| 九九热视频精品| 欧美白人最猛性xxxxx| 免费在线观看黄网站| 老妇高潮潮喷到猛进猛出| 国产在线视频色综合| 亚洲成熟人网站| 欧美性猛交xxxx免费看蜜桃| 免费无毒片在线观看| 黄色一级毛片看一级毛片| 国产精品无码一区二区三级| 99久久人妻精品免费一区| 好猛好深好爽好硬免费视频| 中国毛片在线观看| 日本中文字幕在线电影| 亚洲精品国精品久久99热| 色釉釉www网址| 国产精品国产精品国产专区不卡 | 亚洲经典在线中文字幕| 老司机永久免费视频| 国产午夜亚洲精品不卡| 久草视频免费在线| 国产精品一区二区久久沈樵 | 可以免费看黄的网站| 黄色链接在线观看| 国产精品日本亚洲777| а√天堂8资源中文在线| 成人免费视频国产| 中文字幕av一区乱码| 成年人黄色一级片| 中文字幕日本精品一区二区三区| 暴力调教一区二区三区| 亚洲av永久无码精品天堂久久| 波多野结衣视频在线免费观看| 和僧侣的交行之夜樱花| 色哟哟国产精品免费观看| 国产乱人伦偷精品视频免下载| 精品91自产拍在线| 国产特黄一级片| 黄网站色在线视频免费观看|