China's economists and China's soft power

By John Ross
0 CommentsPrint E-mail China.org.cn, October 14, 2010
Adjust font size:

Official articles by government ministers are not normally the place one looks for incisive argument – they tend to be full of stereotyped phraseology approved by a committee. But the article by China's Commerce Minister, Chen Deming, in China Daily continues to be the single best survey of the entire issue of the RMB exchange rate. No US economist supporting a large revaluation of the RMB has succeeded in replying to his fundamental points, namely that:

Given the present international division of labor, manufacturing industries would not return to the U.S. even if imports from China were restricted; the U.S. would import from other developing countries.

The facts show that RMB appreciation doesn't reduce the trade imbalance. From 2005 to 2008, the RMB appreciated by 21.1 percent against the US dollar but China's trade surplus went up and not down.

The US's own export restrictions are responsible for a major part of its deficit with China. China's hi-tech imports have increased rapidly, but the US share dropped from 18.3 percent in 2001 to 7.5 percent in 2009. ?

Other clear explanations of the issue have come from Yang Yao, editor of China Economic Quarterly, and Yao Jian.

In contrast, even eminent of Western economists have been forced into advancing arguments on this issue they would never allow to pass in other circumstances. Paul Krugman, Nobel prize winner who has been advancing the case for tariffs against China in the New York Times, not only could not get his data right on China's trade figures (a serious shortcoming for someone proposing a trade war) but presented an argument for general trade protectionism by the US as an argument for selective tariffs against China – missing the point that selective tariffs would mean Chinese imports would be replaced by Mexican, Vietnamese, Indian and others. In short, no jobs would be created in the U.S.

Martin Wolf, the Financial Times chief economics commentator, tried to present China as the chief cause of the trade deficits of high income countries, of which the largest are those of the U.S. and UK. But OECD data shows that China accounts for only one quarter of the deficit of those countries. Wolf also put forward the unusual argument that in currency disputes: "The U.S. must win, since it has infinite ammunition: there is no limit to the dollars the Federal Reserve can create." It is hard to believe that as serious an economist as Wolf would suggest in any other context that the U.S. could embark on unlimited printing of dollars without the gravest consequences in terms of asset bubbles, subsequent financial crashes, and inflation. Fortunately the US monetary authorities are unlikely to try such an experiment.

Naturally not all Western economists have been caught up in these incoherent arguments. Another Nobel prize winner, Joseph Stiglitz, has vigorously made the elementary, but vital, point that an increase in the RMB exchange rate would actually lead to an increase in China's trade surplus if demand for China's exports and imports is inelastic – a point of view for which there is a great deal of evidence.

But fundamentally it has been China's economists who have been making the intellectual running. It has been an exhibition of "soft power" in practice. Hopefully those dealing with other fields will learn to project China's achievements and discuss its problems with the same coherence and focus that China's economists have shown on this major issue.

The author is a columnist with China.org.cn. For more information please visit: http://www.ccgp-fushun.com/opinion/node_7080931.htm

   Previous   1   2  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美福利电影在线| 亚洲激情综合网| 日韩精品久久久肉伦网站| 免费人妻精品一区二区三区| 免费看黄的网页| 天天夜碰日日摸日日澡| 久久国产精品女| 欧美深夜福利视频| 动漫人物桶动漫人物免费观看| 国产高清国内精品福利| 在线视频免费观看www动漫| 久久91精品国产99久久yfo| 欧美妇乱xxxxx视频| 免费看美女吃男生私人部位| 高铁上要了很多次| 国产青草视频在线观看| 中国在线观看免费的www| 最近中文字幕国语免费高清6| 人妻少妇精品中文字幕av蜜桃| 韩国男女无遮挡高清性视频| 国产精品视频yy9099| 一级黄色a毛片| 日韩一中文字幕| 亚洲日产韩国一二三四区| 精品无人区乱码麻豆1区2区| 国产成人无码AⅤ片在线观看| 99久久国产综合精品成人影院| 我们离婚了第二季韩国综艺在线观看| 亚洲av无码一区二区三区国产| 热久久国产精品| 四虎影片国产精品8848| 成人免费福利视频| 国产色无码专区在线观看| 一本之道在线视频| 日本a级视频在线播放| 亚洲一区精品无码| 激情内射日本一区二区三区| 啊公交车坐最后一排被c视频| 99re最新这里只有精品| 国产精成人品日日拍夜夜免费| www.色噜噜|