Tightrope balancing effort

By Jing Ulrich
0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, June 10, 2010
Adjust font size:

Having implemented the most effective stimulus program during last year's global economic downturn, the Chinese government in recent months has been engaged in a balancing act of controlling inflation and deflating asset bubbles without dampening growth excessively.

The current climate of domestic policy shifts and perceived external vulnerabilities has given investors ample cause for concern. Developments in China's economy have never drawn more global attention, as evidenced by unprecedented numbers of delegates expected at JP Morgan's annual China Conference.

Investors from all over the world remain very committed to understanding how developments in China might influence their strategies.

Recent liquidity tightening initiatives, restrictions on speculative property investments and intensifying concerns about the European debt crisis have weighed on Chinese equities markets, bringing a reduction in risk appetite and a preference for defensive sectors.

Despite a reasonably strong medium-term corporate earnings outlook, the benchmark CSI 300 index of domestic Chinese stocks has declined 22.9 percent year-to-date, while Hong Kong "H" shares have shed 12.8 percent.

The sectors that saw the greatest benefit from abundant liquidity in 2009 - namely property, construction, materials and banks - have corrected sharply, with a number of these names now valued at a significant discount to historical averages.

Uncertainties also exist with respect to the domestic liquidity environment. After encouraging the nation's banks to issue a vast amount of loans in 2009, the government has set a target of 7.5 trillion yuan in new loans in 2010 (as compared to 9.6 trillion yuan last year).

Meanwhile, the official target for broader money supply growth has been set at 17 percent for 2010 - a level that implies significant deceleration from an average 23.9 percent monthly M2 growth in January-April. Such a reduction of domestic liquidity would mean less "surplus funds" to be channeled into asset markets.

Beyond merely controlling the volume of credit growth in 2010, the government also aims to manage the pace of lending. The extension of new loans in 2009 was heavily skewed towards the first and second quarters. A mismatch between the infusion of credit and the actual deployment of funds earmarked for stimulus projects facilitated some degree of speculation in asset markets.

Regulators have now asked banks to issue 30 percent of new loans in each of the first two quarters of 2010, and 20 percent in each of the latter two quarters. In actuality, the pace of lending has run ahead of official guidelines. If policy-makers hold firm, Chinese banks may be asked to pare lending in the months ahead.

Authorities have opted to leave interest rates unchanged since late-2008, erring on the side of caution in using broad policy tools to adjust monetary conditions. Uncertainties surrounding the sovereign debt crisis in Europe may have prompted policy-makers to slow the pace of tightening, delay interest rate adjustments and suspend the introduction of more aggressive administrative controls.

1   2   Next  


Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲人成影院在线高清| 啊灬啊灬啊灬快好深用力免费| 99精品国产99久久久久久97| 日本va欧美va欧美va精品| 亚洲五月激情网| 波多野结衣中文字幕电影| 免费看片aⅴ免费大片| 老少交欧美另类| 国产伦精品一区二区三区| 日本特黄特色特爽大片老鸭| 国产视频一区二区在线观看| japanese日本护士xxxx10一16| 成人精品免费视频在线观看| 久久午夜国产片| 日韩高清中文字幕| 亚洲人成网男女大片在线播放| 欧美视频一区二区三区在线观看| 你是我的城池营垒免费观看完整版 | 被男按摩师添的好爽在线直播 | 中文字幕一区二区三区精华液| 日本成人免费在线视频| 久久精品国产欧美日韩| 樱花草视频www| 亚洲国产成人91精品| 欧美日韩电影网| 亚洲桃色av无码| 欧美牲交a欧美牲交aⅴ图片| 亚洲狠狠狠一区二区三区| 激情亚洲的在线观看| 伊人蕉久中文字幕无码专区| 真实的国产乱xxxx在线| 免费精品无码AV片在线观看| 精品无码成人片一区二区98| 同桌好舒服好粗好硬| 美女的扒开尿口让男人桶动态图| 国产V亚洲V天堂A无码| 色综合久久中文字幕网| 国产一级二级在线观看| 色噜噜狠狠色综合成人网| 国产h肉在线视频免费观看| 色综七七久久成人影|