Home / International / Opinion Tools: Save | Print | E-mail | Most Read | Comment
Moment of truth looms for US presidential race
Adjust font size:

That doesn't mean Obama's economic plan is undisputably superior than McCain's. It is rather a party legacy thing.

Based on a research of Princeton University, during past 50 years, the U.S. economy was better under Democratic presidents than it was under Republican presidents.

Under Democratic presidents, the middle and lower economic class got more benefits while the rich were the biggest beneficiary under Republican presidents.

Analysts said unless McCain presents a clearly superior economic plan, which looks not very likely, he has little chance to outperform the Democrat on the economic issue. Worse for him, the economy will remain the dominating issue of the campaign, given the nation's economic situation.

It won't be over until it is over

Comparing McCain's current standing to history, he's chance to win the election now looks dim. Obama's current lead of 7 to 8 percentage in average poll rating, is very hard for McCain to overcome if previous elections were the guide.

Since Gallup began presidential polling in 1936, only one candidate has overcome a deficit that large at this point and continued to win: Ronald Reagan.

But there is a difference. In 1980, Reagan was the candidate of an opposition party challenging an unpopular incumbent, Democrat Jimmy Carter. At present, McCain is the ruling party's candidate linked to an unpopular president.

Larry Bartels, a political scientist at Princeton, thought Obama has a over 90 percent of chances to win the election. But others are less sure that the race is effectively over.

Analysts like Walter Sapiro at Salon.com, argued that McCain can still win, noting that in an information age, the voter's mood is very easy to change. Then there is the "October surprise" which could shake up the whole race, like a national security incident or even a grave terrorist threat. McCain can also make a surprise move once again, like he chose little-known Sara Palin as the running mate in August.

Finally, there is the creepy but existing issue of racism. Obama, born to a white mother and a black father, faces certain resistance because of his color.

But the race factor is very hard to quantify and it remains a myth until the votes were counted.

Overall, the race is not finished at the moment but the "moment of truth" is coming quickly as the election day is only 20 days away.

(Xinhua News Agency October 16, 2008)

     1   2   3  


Tools: Save | Print | E-mail | Most Read
Comment
Pet Name
Anonymous
China Archives
Related >>
- Obama, McCain clash on economy in final debate
- Economy dominates Obama-McCain final debate
- Obama outlines economic rescue plan
- Obama outlines economic rescue plan
- Obama, McCain unveil new economic proposals
- Polls: Obama winner of US presidential debate
- Obama, McCain face off in second debate
- Obama widens lead over McCain in polls
Most Viewed >>
- China, Russia unveil boundary markers
- Wildfires kill 2 in Southern California
- Upcoming ASEM summit to touch upon financial crisis
- All crew on sunken Vietnamese freighter rescued
- China airs resolve to keep economy in good shape
> Korean Nuclear Talks
> Reconstruction of Iraq
> Middle East Peace Process
> Iran Nuclear Issue
> 6th SCO Summit Meeting
Links
- China Development Gateway
- Foreign Ministry
- Network of East Asian Think-Tanks
- China-EU Association
- China-Africa Business Council
- China Foreign Affairs University
- University of International Relations
- Institute of World Economics & Politics
- Institute of Russian, East European & Central Asian Studies
- Institute of West Asian & African Studies
- Institute of Latin American Studies
- Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies
- Institute of Japanese Studies
主站蜘蛛池模板: 激情五月综合网| 蜜臀av无码精品人妻色欲| 天堂…中文在线最新版在线| 久久久噜噜噜久久中文福利| 欧美另类videovideosex| 亚洲老熟女@TubeumTV| 精品无码一区二区三区水蜜桃| 国产亚洲高清不卡在线观看| 国产精品网址在线观看你懂的| 国产精品美女www爽爽爽视频| aaaa级少妇高潮大片在线观看| 成人动漫h在线观看| 久久亚洲精品成人综合| 日韩视频在线观看| 亚洲剧场午夜在线观看| 毛片免费视频观看| 亚洲高清不卡视频| 相泽南亚洲一区二区在线播放| 后入内射欧美99二区视频| 荡女淫春护土bd在线观看| 国产女人18一级毛片视频| 五月婷婷丁香六月| 国产精品对白刺激久久久| 91chinesehomemadevideo| 国色天香论坛视频高清在线| gogo少妇无码肉肉视频| 奶交性视频欧美| 一区二区三区电影在线观看| 成人无码Av片在线观看| 中文无码人妻有码人妻中文字幕| 日本成人不卡视频| 久久天天躁狠狠躁夜夜免费观看| 日韩高清在线不卡| 五月婷婷在线播放| 最近2019中文免费字幕| 亚洲AV无码精品网站| 极品校花yin乱合集| 亚洲av高清一区二区三区| 欧美aaaaaa级午夜福利视频| 亚洲中久无码永久在线观看同| 欧美伊人久久大香线蕉综合|