It was a "historic" outcome for a House of Councilors election.
It was the first time since the 1955 merger of the Liberal and
Democratic parties that an opposition party has become the largest
in the Japanese upper house.
It is certain to have a major impact on both the political
management of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who has declared he would
maintain his grip on the reins of the government, and the manner in
which business is conducted in the Diet. The result of this
election could well alter the nation's political structure.
The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) suffered a humiliating loss,
while coalition partner New Komeito had to settle for a small
showing - costing the ruling bloc its majority in the upper
chamber.
The Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), meanwhile, made impressive
gains, becoming the largest party in the upper house.
The political winds shifted in favor of the DPJ in the wake of
public criticism of "blunders" by Abe's government and the LDP,
including pension record-keeping errors, questionable handling of
office expenses by LDP members and controversial and careless
remarks by Cabinet members.
Persistent dissatisfaction regarding "social and economic
disparities" among laborers and rural dwellers, who believe they
are not benefiting from the nation's economic expansion, apparently
resulted in sharp criticism against the Abe administration and the
ruling parties.
The election tactics of DPJ leader Ichiro Ozawa also appeared to
be successful. Ozawa focused his campaign efforts on prefectural
constituencies in which one seat was up for election. In those
constituencies, traditional LDP support bases such as the
construction industry, agricultural sector and postmasters'
organization, have been shaken.
DPJ responsibility
The DPJ, which will take leadership in managing affairs in the
upper house as the largest party in the chamber, must bear heavy
responsibility in this "twisted" situation in which the ruling
coalition has a majority in the lower house and the opposition has
a majority in the upper house.
Ozawa has insisted that the DPJ's sights are set on transferring
power by obtaining a majority in the upper house. With an eye to
realigning the political landscape, Ozawa seems determined to
squeeze the government and ruling coalition so it has no option but
to dissolve the House of Representatives.
If a bill sponsored by the government and the ruling coalition
passes the lower house and is sent to the upper house, the
opposition bloc-controlled upper house can reject or revise the
bill. This situation leaves the government and the ruling coalition
on shaky ground should the opposition bloc submit a bill to the
upper house that is passed and sent to the lower house.
The ruling coalition, which controls more than two-thirds of
lower house seats, can pass again and enact a bill that is rejected
in the upper house. However, this will not be easy in reality.
Of most concern is the effect Sunday's results will impart on
promoting key domestic and international policies.
One issue that could get bogged down is tax and fiscal reform,
including raising the consumption tax rate to secure sufficient
financial sources to stabilize the social security system for the
provision of pension, medical and nursing care.
Another issue is the realignment of US forces stationed in
Japan. How will the opposition camp deal with the relocation of the
US Marine Corps' Futenma Air Station in Okinawa Prefecture? The DPJ
opposed the special law to promote the realignment of US forces.
The DPJ's handling of this matter could undermine trust in the
Japan-US security alliance that is essential for ensuring this
country's peace and security.
If these concerns become reality, the two-chamber system and
significance of the upper house's existence will be called into
question.
When it comes to important issues at home and abroad, it is
important that the DPJ firmly stick to its stance as a responsible
political party rather than simply playing political games.
The LDP's crushing defeat in Sunday's election was a result of
widespread dissatisfaction toward the party over a number of
issues.
The pension record-keeping blunders stoked distrust in the
government administration over the pension system. A string of
scandals involving dubious accounting reports for office expenses
by Genichiro Sata, state minister in charge of administrative
reform, former Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Minister
Toshikatsu Matsuoka, and his successor Norihiko Akagi, all raised
public skepticism about "politics and money".
The LDP also suffered a serious blow when then Defense Minister
Fumio Kyuma made a comment that was construed as justifying the
United States' atomic bombing of Japan. The statement later led to
Kyuma being forced to resign.
Abe has been the subject of strong criticism for appointing such
ministers, who are said to have received their portfolios as reward
for their contributions to Abe's campaign to become LDP
president.
Abe must respect mandate
The issues of pension - the most contentious matter in the poll
- and the widening socioeconomic gap are a legacy echoing from past
administrations. Responsibility for these problems should not rest
entirely on the 10-month-old Abe administration.
The social security fiasco was the result of lax management on
the part of the Social Insurance Agency. Past cabinets that failed
to properly oversee the agency bear much of the responsibility.
One factor behind the widening social and economic disparities
is that the government failed to introduce economic stimulus
measures during the 1990s, the so-called lost decade. Excessive
pro-market principle policies under Heizo Takenaka - then state
minister for economic and fiscal policy under Prime Minister
Junichiro Koizumi - played a key role in widening the gap.
Had Abe distanced himself from Koizumi's extravagance, the
current prime minister would not be accused of producing negative
policies that reflect those of his predecessor.
Despite suffering this serious setback, Abe stuck to his guns,
saying: "I will fulfill my duty to create a new nation." This
apparently was his way of expressing determination to tackle
constitutional revision and educational reform under the concept of
making a "departure from the postwar regime".
To do so, Abe must take seriously the voters' mandate, and must
work to rebuild the foundation of his administration and his party,
all the while seeking ways to cooperate with the DPJ.
(China Daily via The Yomiuri Shimbun July 31,
2007)
