China's central bank announced Wednesday it will raise the
required reserve ratio for commercial banks by half a percentage
point as of Jan. 25.
The ratio will be raised to 15 percent, the highest since 1984.
This increase, the first this year, comes a month after the ratio
was raised by a percentage point on Dec. 25.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) said in a statement that the
adjustment, part of its stringent monetary policy, is to draw back
excess liquidity at banks and curb the overly-fast credit
growth.
Excess liquidity is a major challenge for the government as it
could result in bubbles and economic overheating. China's benchmark
Shanghai Composite Index almost doubled last year and the economy
expanded 11.5 percent in the first three quarters.
The problem of excess liquidity becomes more prominent as the
record trade surplus pumps more cash into the country.
China's foreign exchange reserve reached 1.53 trillion U.S.
dollars at the end of 2007, up 43.3 percent from 2006, with 461.9
billion U.S. dollars added to the country's forex reserve in 2007,
said the PBOC last week.
"The hike of the reserve requirement by only half a percentage
point will have limited impact on the loans extension at the big
four state-owned commercial banks, but have far bigger impact on
that of the mid- and small-sized banks," said Yin Jianfeng, an
expert with the Finance Research Institute of the Chinese Academy
of Social Sciences.
China's renminbi-denominated loans increased 3.63 trillion yuan
(501 billion U.S. dollars) in 2007, 14 percent higher than in 2006.
The PBOC has set the target for newly-added renminbi loans to be
unchanged at 3.63 trillion yuan for the whole of 2008, China
Securities Journal, a Xinhua-run newspaper, quoted an unnamed
source as saying on Monday.
At the 2007 Central Economic Work Conference concluded on Dec.
5, the government pledged to shift its monetary policy to "tight"
from "prudent" to prevent economic overheating and evident
inflation.
Apart from frequent open market operations, the central bank
last year raised the reserve ratio 10 times and benchmark interest
rates six times amid efforts to curb inflation and overheating
economic growth.
Insiders said the PBOC would continue to raise the reserve
requirement and conduct open market operations and window guidance
to tighten liquidity and credit expansion, given the nation's high
global trade surplus.
The government should take a prudent approach toward
macro-economic controls, given the uncertainty in the country's
economic growth this year with the U.S. economy showing signs of
recession, Yin added.
(Xinhua News Agency January 17, 2008)
