Housing price falls expected as cooling measures bite

0 CommentsPrint E-mail Xinhua, June 12, 2010
Adjust font size:

Measures to rein in China's soaring home prices are beginning to see results, and price declines are expected in later half of the year, say economists and market watchers.

The recent fall in trading volume and slower growth in prices was largely a result of the measures the government had rolled out since April, said Professor Chen Guoqiang, of China's Peking University.

Home prices in 70 large and medium-sized cities rose by 12.4 percent year on year in May, 0.4 percentage points lower than the rise in April, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

According to Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics (BMBS), only 3,028 second-hand homes were sold through 15 major estate agencies in the city in May, down 64.8 percent year on year and 70.7 percent month on month.

Meanwhile, average prices for second-hand homes stood at 12,661 yuan per square meter, down 2,577 yuan from April, said a report on the BMBS website.

"I can say the rising trend in China's home prices has been curbed initially," said Chen.

A report from Centaline China Property Research revealed second-hand home prices in other major cities also fell. In Shanghai prices dropped by 2.5 percent last month from April and in Guangzhou by 1.5 percent.

The second-hand home market was more sensitive to policy shifts as developers were still cash-rich due to last year's boom, and had little incentive to cut new home prices, said Centaline research manager Qu Anxin.

In a bid to curb soaring prices and prevent an asset bubble, the government tightened scrutiny of developers' financing, curbed loans for third-home purchase, raised minimum mortgage rates and tightened downpayment requirements for second-home purchases.

"People are not expecting these measures to do immediate wonders on the market..., but if policy support continues, a price decline can be expected," said UBS Securities economist Wang Tao.

The downturn would put no short-term pressure on construction, as the government was focusing more on building affordable homes, which would offset a decline in construction of commercial housing, said Wang.

"Construction activities will eventually be influenced by the cooling measures and slow down six months later, while market demand for construction materials will fall at the same time," she said.

Prices have risen year on year for 12 consecutive months since June last year.

Li Wei, a Shanghai-based economist with Standard Chartered Bank, said if low transaction volumes persisted for another three to four months, developers would face liquidity pressures.

"We expect prices nationwide to start falling in the third quarter, with first and second-tier cities experiencing average declines up to 20 percent," he said in a note.

Yang Hongxu, an analyst from Shanghai-based E-House China Research Development Institute, expected prices to fall month on month nationwide in June.

For the whole year, a property market downturn would also lead to slower growth of property investment, which was an important driver of the country's economic growth, said Chen Xingdong, a Beijing-based economist with BNP Paribas.

The annual growth in property investment this year would fall by 10 percentage points, Chen said.

Property market investment grew 38.2 percent to 1.39 trillion yuan in the first five months, according to NBS data.

"This could drag down the country's annual economic growth by 0.5 to 1 percentage point, but the GDP growth for the whole year would still stay above the government target of 8 percent," he said.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美三级不卡在线观看视频| 久久久久久国产精品免费免费男同| 成人羞羞视频网站| 在线观看视频中文字幕| 中文无码热在线视频| 日韩欧美高清视频| 亚洲国产欧美国产综合一区| 激情偷乱人伦小说视频在线| 公和熄三级中字电影久久| 舌头伸进去里面吃小豆豆| 国产夫妻在线观看| 亚洲精品国产精品国自产网站| 国产高清一级伦理| 99国产在线观看| 天天综合色天天桴色| 一本久久综合亚洲鲁鲁五月天| 成全视频在线观看免费看| 久久久久久久久蜜桃| 日韩中文精品亚洲第三区| 亚洲AV无码乱码在线观看性色| 欧美国产综合欧美视频| 亚洲欧美成aⅴ人在线观看| 热狗福利ap青草视频入口在线观看p引导下载花季传媒 | 精品久久久久久无码中文字幕一区 | 国产免费福利片| 黄色软件视频在线观看| 国产欧美日韩一区二区加勒比| 1000部精品久久久久久久久| 国产高清自产拍av在线| 99在线在线视频免费视频观看| 女人张开腿让男人桶个爽| а√天堂资源官网在线资源| 性按摩xxxx| 一线高清视频在线观看www国产| 成人福利免费视频| 中文字幕亚洲欧美日韩不卡| 无码人妻一区二区三区免费看| 久久久不卡国产精品一区二区| 日本不卡免费新一二三区| 久久久久无码精品国产app| 日本护士xxxx视频|