Strong rise of yuan could be temporary: Analysts

0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, July 3, 2010
Adjust font size:

China's central bank set the yuan's reference central parity rate on Friday to its highest level against the dollar since 2005's revaluation, despite growing concerns about the economic slow-down in China and the rest of the world.

But analysts said the strong rise of the yuan could be temporary because it is a result of the recent weakening of the dollar and strengthening of the euro.

"Once the dollar weakening stops, the yuan could weaken again," said Liu Dongliang, chief currency analyst at China Merchants Bank.

The People's Bank of China set the yuan's reference rate at 6.772, up more than 0.8 percent compared to the 6.83 it was two weeks ago when the authorities announced the yuan would be made more flexible.

In market trading, the yuan rose as far as 6.7808 against the dollar on Thursday, a whisker from Wednesday's peak of 6.7801, the highest since its July 2005 revaluation.

Yuan forwards completed a fourth weekly gain as the euro rallied against the dollar following Spain's successful sale of bonds at auction on Thursday.

Twelve-month non-deliverable forwards jumped 0.2 percent to 6.6690 per dollar as of 5:37 pm in Hong Kong and strengthened 0.14 percent during the week. The performance reflects bets that the yuan will appreciate 1.5 percent in one year.

"The rise of the yuan against the dollar is not surprising," said Liu.

He explained that it was a "technical" appreciation because of the weakening dollar and rising euro.

"It's not strong enough to invite the central bank's intervention."

According to analysts, fluctuations in the yuan are closely related to major currencies, such as the dollar and euro, and China's currency can move because of the volatile international economy.

He Liping, dean of the financial department at Beijing Normal University, predicted the yuan will not rise significantly because economic conditions will become stable.

"There will not be drastic changes in the value of the yuan," he said, explaining that both the Chinese and global economy will stabilize in the second half of the year.

Overall, the global economic situation will not change much, with some countries recording more solid recoveries and others recovering slowly, he said.

The global stock markets have fared poorly during the past week, which reflected concern about the economic slow-down in China and the rest of the world, with China's benchmark Shanghai Composite Index dropping to a 15-month intraday low in afternoon trading on Friday.

The index shed 6.7 percent during the week, its biggest weekly loss since March 2009.

"The stock markets sometimes simply over-react," said He.

Wang Tao, head of China Economic Research at UBS Securities, was confident the Chinese economy will not suffer a "hard-landing".

"The short answer is no," she said in a research note.

UBS Securities maintained its GDP growth forecast for China for 2010 and 2011 at 10 percent and 8.7 percent, respectively.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产一区二区三区影院| 国产精选之刘婷野战| 久久久久久91| 黄色大片免费网站| 小sao货水好多真紧h视频| 亚洲综合第二页| 韩国三级女电影完整版| 国产精品美女www爽爽爽视频| 中文字幕在线观看国产| 欧美成人午夜影院| 午夜精品一区二区三区在线观看 | 成年人在线免费看| 亚洲国产欧洲综合997久久| 美女扒开粉嫩尿口漫画| 国产白嫩美女在线观看| www.好吊妞| 成人h在线播放| 亚洲AV日韩AV高潮无码专区| 男女做性无遮挡免费视频| 国产人成777在线视频直播| 91精东果冻蜜桃星空麻豆| 成年人网站黄色| 亚洲AV无码精品蜜桃| 欧美成人看片一区二区三区| 亚洲第一极品精品无码久久| 狼人久久尹人香蕉尹人| 免费看一级毛片| 精品久久人人做人人爽综合| 又黄又爽又色的视频| 黄瓜视频在线播放| 国产成人综合日韩精品婷婷九月| 亚洲国产香蕉视频欧美| 天堂草原电视剧在线观看免费| 一千零一夜电影无删减版在线看 | 色偷偷888欧美精品久久久| 国产精品入口麻豆电影网| yy6080新视觉旧里番高清资源| 日本被强制侵犯亚洲系列播放| 亚洲日韩在线中文字幕综合| 精品久久久久久无码免费| 午夜视频免费成人|