Double dip unlikely: IMF official

0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, September 15, 2010
Adjust font size:

The global economy does not face the risk of a double dip although it has entered a slow growth trajectory, Zhu Min, special adviser to the managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), said on Tuesday.

"At this stage, we don't see the particular risk we call a double dip that everyone is talking about," Zhu told China Daily in an exclusive interview. "It (the global economy) is still recovering."

The global economy has entered a slow growth trajectory, he said. "We saw global exports slow down; so also is the case with industrial production and the purchasing managers' index."

Global governments are committed to maintaining economic stability and hence there is very little chance of another major recession in the short term, he said. "They (governments) have a lot of policies to use," said Zhu, who was deputy governor of China's central bank and Bank of China Group's executive vice-president before joining the IMF.

Advanced and emerging economies are facing severe challenges, he said. "The financial sector (of advanced economies) has stabilized but remains fragile. For example, there are still trillions of dollars of the so-called toxic assets."

The overall debt ratio of these nations, which could jump from 90 percent to 115 percent on average in the next five years, is another major challenge, he said.

For emerging economies, a special risk is the potential volatility triggered by the huge capital inflows and outflows, he said. "Capital flows into the emerging markets is good news. But it can sometimes be risky due to the volatility," he said on the sidelines of the ongoing Summer Davos Forum.

"During the past 10 years, the capital flows from the peak to the trough can be as high as 5 percent of the GDP of emerging nations. (They have) caused financial sector volatility and also exchange rate volatility."

Though the G20 mechanism has played an important role in stabilizing the global economy, it is also important for the non-G20 members to have a greater saying.

"Of course, it's impossible to get all countries included in the framework. We need proper representation, different constituencies and proper representatives for different areas and regions," said Zhu.

He also urged for faster global governance reforms. "We are in an era of globalization, without any global governance."

Talking about the yuan's exchange rate, Zhu said the IMF supports China's efforts to make the yuan more flexible. "The Chinese government is determined to move the exchange rate regime to a more market-oriented system."

China vowed to make the yuan's exchange rate more flexible on June 19. The currency has risen by about 1.3 percent since then. The yuan's central parity rate rose to 6.7378 per dollar on Tuesday, the highest level since the start of revaluation in July 2005. However, some countries, such as the United States, have criticized the slow pace of yuan appreciation and blamed it for its trade deficit.

Zhu said the exchange rate is determined by several factors as capital account conditions and not just trade alone.

High-income countries should save more, while low-income countries should increase consumption to rebalance the global economy and reduce trade frictions, he said.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲av日韩精品久久久久久久| 午夜免费福利影院| 18videosex性欧美69| 天天看天天爽天天摸天天添| 中文字幕免费在线看电影大全| 日韩国产成人精品视频| 亚洲一区二区三区在线观看网站| 欧美激情videossex护士| 偷天宝鉴在线观看| 精品国产免费人成网站| 国产不卡在线看| 麻豆人人妻人人妻人人片AV| 国产精品一区二区三| 521色香蕉网站在线观看| 在线播放日本爽快片| jizz在线免费观看| 少妇无码太爽了不卡视频在线看| 中文字幕第六页| 日本三级片网站| 久久在精品线影院精品国产| 柠檬福利第一导航在线| 亚洲国产日韩欧美在线| 欧美日韩在线视频一区| 亚洲熟妇无码AV不卡在线播放| 男人免费桶女人45分钟视频| 免费看的一级毛片| 精品久久久久久中文字幕| 唐人电影社欧美一区二区| 老熟女五十路乱子交尾中出一区 | 免费看男女下面日出水视频| 美国式禁忌免费| 啊轻点灬大ji巴太粗太长了h| 老师办公室被吃奶好爽在线观看| 国产乱码一二三区精品| 被公侵犯肉体中文字幕电影| 国产免费久久精品丫丫| 香蕉视频在线观看黄| 国产在线91精品入口| 高嫁肉柳风车动漫| 国产卡1卡2卡三卡网站免费| 韩国三级在线高速影院|