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Cash, confidence, consumption: How China's policy kit fuels consumers' wallets?

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail Xinhua, March 24, 2025
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China unveiled a comprehensive policy package recently to boost consumer spending, reinforcing its commitment to making consumption a key driver of economic growth.

The 30-point plan aims to strengthen consumer confidence by a whole set of measures including promoting income growth and reducing financial burden.

Analysts described the pro-consumption push as an innovative move that underscores the government's commitment to a people-oriented approach and its focus on investing in human capital.

The holistic initiative, which combines fiscal, financial and regulatory tools, aligns with priorities outlined in this year's government work report, which positioned "expanding domestic demand" as a top priority.

A key aspect of the plan is its focus on tackling prominent constraints on consumption through three main measures: boosting spending power by increasing incomes and easing financial burdens, delivering high-quality supply, and fostering a consumption environment.

As the world's second-largest economy navigates domestic and external headwinds, policymakers are counting on the spending power of its 1.4 billion consumers to drive economic growth.

Greater capacity, willingness to spend 

Central to the plan is an unprecedented emphasis on demand-side support to bolster household consumption capacity through measures that foster reasonable wage increases, expand property income channels, and boost farmers' earnings.

For the first time in a policy document on boosting consumption, the plan explicitly highlights the importance of stabilizing both the stock and property markets, outlining targeted measures in a bid to "enhance spending power, stabilize expectations, and strengthen consumer confidence."

"There's considerable focus on increasing both the capacity and willingness of households to consume," Lynn Song, ING Chief Economist for Greater China, said in a note.

The plan integrates consumption growth with improving livelihoods, introducing measures to ease household burdens in areas such as childcare, education, healthcare and old-age insurance, Li Chunlin, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), said at a press conference following the release of the initiative.

Accordingly, China plans to explore a childcare subsidy system, increase fiscal subsidies for basic old-age benefits and basic medical insurance for rural and non-working urban residents in 2025, and appropriately raise basic pension benefits for retirees.

The plan's increased focus on tackling livelihood problems aligns with this year's government work report, which pledges to "direct more funds and resources toward investing in people to meet their needs."

Increasing fiscal spending on human development and social safeguards not only helps create a sustainable consumption expansion mechanism but also reflects an approach where economic growth and the improvement of people's well-being mutually reinforce each other, according to Jin Li, vice president of Southern University of Science and Technology.

Expansion of trade-in program to boost demand 

In a broader push to bolster domestic demand, China renewed its consumer goods trade-in program, increasing funding from last year's 150 billion yuan to 300 billion yuan through ultra-long special treasury bonds.

This year's initiative also extends subsidies to more electric gadgets and home appliances including smartphones, tablets, and smartwatches.

The push builds on the success of 2024, where 150 billion yuan in subsidies generated over 1.3 trillion yuan in sales across autos, home goods, and electronics, highlighting the program's role as a near-term economic stabilizer.

Amid strong policy support, e-commerce giant JD.com reported a 13.4 percent year-on-year revenue increase in Q4 2024, marking its highest quarterly growth in nearly two years, while its operating profit skyrocketed to 8.5 billion yuan, compared to 2 billion yuan recorded in the same period the previous year, the company's latest performance report showed.

This growth aligns with broader consumer optimism. Some 54 percent of Chinese consumers feel financially better off than a year ago, a 10-percentage point leap from the average in 2024, according to a report released by the German bank on Tuesday, Bloomberg reported.

The upbeat findings suggest China is increasingly reaping the benefits of the government's efforts to boost household confidence and consumption.

Beyond immediate stimulus, policymakers are aiming for "bigger-picture themes" that will take time to unfold. The plan stressed the need to implement a paid annual leave system, ensuring that workers' rights to rest and vacation are legally protected.

"More flexible leave policies could encourage the more crowd-averse consumers to travel and spend," Song said, noting that reform in the holiday system will result in "more aggregate demand."

Furthermore, the policy bets big on tech-driven consumption, prioritizing "AI+" innovations like self-driving vehicles, brain-computer interfaces, and robotics, underscoring China's vision to integrate high-tech advancement with premium consumer experiences.

Sustainable consumption growth 

China's intensified focus on domestic demand not only emerges as a necessity but also creates a wealth of opportunities.

The urgency is evident as external shocks coincide with challenges in old growth engines, yet within these challenges lies unparalleled potential. China's 1.4 billion consumers, bolstered by an expanding middle class of 400 million, the world's largest, form a powerhouse with vast purchasing potential.

Effective implementation of the pro-consumption action plan is of utmost importance, said Li, noting that challenges such as subdued consumer confidence and unmet consumer demands remain, requiring "significant" efforts to address them.

The synergy between dozens of central departments will be strengthened to roll out specific policies, while local governments are encouraged to put forward nuanced measures in light of local conditions, the NDRC deputy director noted.

"This year's attention to boosting consumption, combined with last year's relatively low base, will help consumption growth recover to mid-single-digit growth in 2025," Song said. "Any further growth would likely hinge on a sustainable recovery of consumption."

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