share
 

RMB expected to stay resilient, rebound despite headwinds

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail chinadaily.com.cn, January 8, 2025
Adjust font size:

Despite external headwinds, the Chinese yuan is expected to maintain its resiliency and rebound later this year, thanks to the country's productivity strength, abundance of foreign exchange reserves and strengthened policy support for economic growth, experts said.

While short-term pressures on the yuan may continue due to market jitters related to possible United States' tariff hikes and the US dollar's strength, Chinese financial authorities are well-positioned to amplify policy adjustments to fend off any excessive yuan depreciation, signaled by the upcoming central bank bill issuance in Hong Kong, they added.

Hong Hao, chief economist at GROW Investment Group, said the yuan, or the renminbi, may still face short-term weakening pressures against the greenback due to the looming potential US tariff hikes on Chinese exports, but will likely rebound later as the sentiment simmers down.

"The yuan is actually undervalued in the long run," Hong said. "The most fundamental determinant of exchange rates is the comparison of labor productivity between two economies. At this stage, China's labor productivity is far higher than that of other economies in the world, including India and Vietnam."

The onshore yuan rallied against the dollar to 7.3231 as of Tuesday afternoon, up 65 basis points from Monday's close, according to market tracker Wind Info. Earlier on Monday, the yuan touched 7.3301 against the dollar, the lowest since September 2023.

"History tells us that it can be stressful for the yuan at first amid tariff threats, but within a few months, the yuan will get through it," Hong said, adding that China's abundant foreign exchange reserves will also underpin the currency.

Official data showed on Tuesday that the country's foreign exchange reserves came in at $3.2024 trillion as of the end of December, well above the $3-trillion mark, despite dropping 1.94 percent compared with November.

Wang Qing, chief macroeconomic analyst at Golden Credit Rating International, said the size of China's foreign exchange reserves will stay "appropriately sufficient" and remain slightly above the $3-trillion mark amid a global shift toward loose financial conditions, providing a solid foundation for yuan stability.

At least in the short term, financial authorities do not need to intervene in the foreign exchange market using the reserves, Wang said, as the yuan has remained stable and even strengthened against a basket of currencies, while the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, has ample policy tools to safeguard its stability.

In a move that analysts said would help withdraw offshore renminbi liquidity, the central bank is planning to issue additional offshore RMB central bank bills this month in Hong Kong, after vowing to resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshooting last week.

Sources close to central bank authorities said the upcoming issuance would far exceed previous single issuances, meeting strong demand from overseas investors for high-grade RMB bonds.

Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst at Haitong Securities, said that besides offshore liquidity management, other potential policy levers include the countercyclical factor for the yuan's central parity rate, window guidance, which is also called informal guidance, the risk reserve ratio for forward foreign exchange sales and macro prudential management of cross-border financing.

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
ChinaNews App Download
Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 无码aⅴ精品一区二区三区| 香港三日本三级人妇三级99| 日韩大片在线永久免费观看网站| 北条麻妃在线一区二区| 天天综合色天天桴色| 小说区图片区综合久久88| 亚洲AV永久无码精品漫画| 欧美综合区自拍亚洲综合天堂| 免费不卡中文字幕在线| 香蕉网在线播放| 国产片免费在线观看| 7777精品伊人久久久大香线蕉| 成年美女黄网站色大片免费看 | 野花高清在线观看免费完整版中文| 在线天堂中文官网| 《溢出》by沈糯在线阅读| 日本精品a在线| 亚洲女人影院想要爱| 波多野结衣在丈夫面前| 四虎永久在线日韩精品观看| 欧美另类videovideosex| 国产精品欧美亚洲| xvideos亚洲永久网址| 日韩人妻无码精品专区| 亚洲欧美日韩综合在线| 美女18隐私羞羞视频网站| 国产日韩精品欧美一区| 99热这里只有精品国产动漫| 无码一区二区三区亚洲人妻| 久久午夜福利无码1000合集| 欧美性猛交xxxx乱大交丰满| 亚洲精品一卡2卡3卡三卡四卡| 糟蹋顶弄挣扎哀求np| 国产suv精品一区二区6| 都流了这么多还嘴硬| 国产真实露脸乱子伦| 99精品热视频| 成人年无码AV片在线观看| 中文字幕无线码免费人妻| 曰韩高清一级毛片| 亚洲日韩欧洲无码av夜夜摸|