A-share market set for further recovery

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail chinadaily.com.cn, October 11, 2023
Adjust font size:

The A-share market will recover further in the fourth quarter as China's economic fundamentals continue to improve over the following months and supportive government policies provide more impetus for economic growth, experts said.

The signs of stable economic growth, evident in the areas of business activity and consumption, will form the foundation for a turnaround in the A-share market, where low valuations have already made it an attractive investment prospect, they said.

Supportive policies that the Chinese government introduced earlier this year to invigorate the capital market, combined with the outlook of relaxed global liquidity as interest rate spikes likely come to an end, will usher in more capital flow to the A-share market and boost investors' confidence, they added.

Timothy Moe, Asia-Pacific chief strategist at investment bank Goldman Sachs, said on Tuesday that the sequential improvement in China's fundamentals, low valuation of A shares at present and the typical seasonal tailwind in the fourth quarter will all support Chinese equities for the rest of the year.

In a portfolio strategy research note released on Sunday, Goldman Sachs experts said they hold an overweight strategy for A shares, thanks to the alignment between supportive policies and China's growth objectives, including self-sufficiency, building an electric vehicle supply chain and mass market consumption.

Analysts at China Securities expect a further recovery in the consumption sector, citing the healthy retail and travel data recorded during the recent Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays as proof. The recovery in car sales in September should also be considered a sign of improving consumption data. The momentum is likely to be sustained in October, they said.

Analysts from Essence Securities said the A-share market has already touched bottom in terms of both performance and investor sentiment. Technology companies and small-cap companies may lead the rebound, as previous policies have favored their long-term development.

China's small and medium-sized enterprise development index climbed 0.2 point from a quarter earlier to 89.2 in the third quarter, returning to expansion territory and reaching its highest level in two years. Xie Ji, secretary-general of the China Association of Small and Medium Enterprises, the index compiler, said the increase has demonstrated that the economic stimulus packages introduced earlier this year are showing positive results.

Zhang Qiyao, chief strategist at Industrial Securities, said that foreign institutions' positive outlook on China's economic growth will mitigate the pressure of capital outflow in the A-share market and even result in capital inflow in the following months.

Experts from United States-based Vanguard Investment Group agreed that there are signs of economic growth stabilizing in China, based on the better-than-expected data in trade, inflation and credit demand in previous months. Therefore, they maintain their forecast that China's GDP growth will be between 5.25 and 5.75 percent in 2023.

In late September, JP Morgan raised its forecast for China's 2023 GDP growth to 5 percent, up from its previous estimate of 4.8 percent.

Zhang Xia, chief strategist at China Merchants Securities, said the US Treasury bond yield may start a downward cycle in the near future. Given the cyclical rise of the renminbi's value in the fourth quarter, the liquidity for the A-share market will improve and foreign capital inflow may accelerate in the following months.

But there are also challenges to be addressed. Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, wrote in a note released on Tuesday that a recovery in the property sector is "a missing piece of puzzle" that could bolster consumer confidence.

Similarly, the International Monetary Fund lowered on Tuesday its 2023 economic growth forecast for China to 5.0 percent from 5.2 percent, due to the risks in the property sector stifling economic activity and weighing on household confidence.

The IMF has lowered its 2023 forecasts for all the major economies except the US.

Follow China.org.cn on Twitter and Facebook to join the conversation.
ChinaNews App Download
Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 热久久国产欧美一区二区精品| 99久久人人爽亚洲精品美女| 污污网站免费在线观看| 国产女人好紧好爽| 一本久到久久亚洲综合| 模特冰漪丰硕之美1| 动漫美女被吸乳羞羞网站动漫| h视频在线免费看| 成人嗯啊视频在线观看| 亚洲国产成人精品无码区在线观看 | 99精品欧美一区二区三区美图| 日韩亚洲欧美综合| 亚洲经典在线中文字幕| 色综合综合色综合色综合| 国产精品自产拍在线网站| 一级毛片试看三分钟| 日韩精品一区二区三区中文3d| 亚洲综合校园春色| 老鸭窝在线播放| 国产激情电影综合在线看| avtt2015天堂网| 无毒不卡在线观看| 亚洲av永久综合在线观看尤物| 男女无遮挡动态图| 国产乱人视频在线播放| 无限资源视频手机在线观看| 女大学生沙龙室3| 久久中文字幕视频| 欧美一区二区三区激情视频| 你懂的免费在线观看| 色综合久久88色综合天天| 国产福利兔女郎在线观看| a级毛片毛片免费观看永久| 无码国产福利av私拍| 亚洲AV无码成人黄网站在线观看| 爽爽日本在线视频免费| 国产AV一区二区精品凹凸| 久久久精品久久久久三级| 在线免费观看一区二区三区| 两根一进一出啊灌满了视频| 日韩制服丝袜电影|