Beijing looks at possible Greek exit

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China.org.cn, June 5, 2012
Adjust font size:

The Chinese government is working on plans to address the potential consequences of Greece leaving the eurozone as Chinese economists warned that such a scenario could plunge the global economy into a new recession.

"The government is working on plans for the worst-case scenario of Greece leaving the eurozone later this year," Wang Haifeng, director of international economics at the Institute for International Economic Research, under the National Development and Reform Commission, told China Daily.

"A plan is being drafted to cushion the possible effect on the exchange rate, capital flow, as well as its influence on trade," said another senior economist, who requested anonymity.

The ministries of finance and commerce are involved in working on the plan, sources said.

"How this entire issue develops will have a direct effect on China and its economy," said an official of the Ministry of Commerce, who also declined to be identified.

But the Chinese economy is strong enough to handle any such emergency in the eurozone, Zhang Yansheng, secretary-general of the academic committee of the NDRC, said.

"It would be unwise to overact," Zhang said, adding a massive stimulus package, similar to the one in 2008, was not necessary.

Greece only accounts for a small slice of bilateral trade between China and Europe, but the risks lie in a possible chain reaction, said Song Hong, director of the Department of International Trade at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

Europe would obviously be effected but it could also drag down the US and Japanese economies, two other large trading partners of China.

Willem Buiter, an economist at Citigroup, agreed that a chain reaction, or contagion, could hit the global economy.

European GDP growth may shrink this year into negativity and any Greek exit would dampen growth prospects for a long time, he said.

In this scenario, the Chinese economy would be hit, said Liu Shiguo, a researcher at the Institute of World Economics and Politics under the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

A Greek exit could spur sovereign defaults, credit crunches and depreciation of the euro, leading to an unhealthy yuan appreciation and affect China's trade.

"In addition, euro assets, which are estimated to account for more than 20 percent of China's massive foreign exchange reserves, could shrink," Liu said.

Chinese banks should supply credit for Chinese companies when European banks are in trouble, he said.

Keeping a close eye on lending is crucial, said Wang Haifeng under the NDRC.

The Greek case is a warning for Chinese banks to pay attention to their lending, especially to local debt platforms.

Some Chinese companies have yet to see any impact on their business in Greece. China Ocean Shipping (Group) Company, the largest State-owned shipping conglomerate in China, said it had not yet adopted "specific measures" against Greece's possible exit from the eurozone.

In 2008 the company signed a $4.2 billion-euro ($5.3 billion) contract to operate Greece's Piraeus port, the biggest container port in the country, for up to 35 years.

Hong Kong's economy could be hit hard by a Greek exit from the eurozone, the region's financial secretary John Tsang told the city's legislators on Monday.

"Being a small and open economy, Hong Kong must prepare itself for the challenges brought about by the rapid deterioration of the macroeconomic environment globally."

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 五月天婷婷伊人| 男女性爽大片视频男女生活| 欧美日韩亚洲另类| 国产又爽又黄无码无遮挡在线观看 | 成人免费777777被爆出| 亚洲春色另类小说| 老司机亚洲精品影视www| 国产精品电影一区二区三区| 中文字幕黑人借宿神宫寺| 欧美成视频无需播放器| 又粗又长又硬太爽了视频快来| 伊人色综合久久天天人守人婷| 岛国在线观看视频| 亚洲av本道一区二区三区四区| 精品一区二区三区在线播放 | 青青草a国产免费观看| 国语自产偷拍精品视频偷| 久久国产小视频| 欧美牲交A欧美在线| 四虎影视免费永久在线观看| h视频免费在线| 小次郎收藏最新地址| 久久精品日日躁夜夜躁欧美| 波多野结衣绝顶大高潮| 四虎成人精品国产永久免费无码 | 国产精品亲子乱子伦xxxx裸| 一区三区三区不卡| 日韩一级视频免费观看| 亚洲欧美激情小说另类| 老司机深夜影院| 国产男女猛烈无遮挡免费视频网站| а天堂中文地址在线| 日本按摩xxxxx高清| 亚洲国产欧美目韩成人综合| 真实的国产乱xxxx| 国产亚洲AV人片在线观看| 2022国产精品视频| 好吊妞788gaoc视频免费| 久久婷婷五月综合97色一本一本 | 无码精品久久久久久人妻中字| 亚洲午夜精品久久久久久人妖|