China's economy to see soft landing

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail China Daily, February 14, 2012
Adjust font size:

Experts says that China will manage to weather adversity stemming from thwarted investments and exports to achieve a soft landing in its macroeconomy this year.

The country's economy is dotted with uncertainties in 2012, as its stern property curbs have weighed on rises in fixed-asset investment and the stiff global headwinds have choked off its exports.

Pan Xiangdong, chief economist with China Galaxy Securities, said in an interview with Xinhua Monday that China's economy had slowed in 2011 under the government's macroeconomic policies and sluggish external demand.

China's economy expanded by 9.2 percent in 2011 from a year earlier and 8.9 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The quarterly growth was the slowest in 10 quarters.

In mid-January, the NBS said China's investment contributed to 54.2 percent of GDP growth in 2011, slightly lower than a year earlier.

Consumption's contribution was 51.6 percent, up from 37.3 percent in 2010, whereas net export's contribution was negative 5.8 percent.

"There is not likely to be any dramatic decline in China's economy this year and a soft landing will be achieved," Pan forecast.

He said one important reason for this is that the country's consumption will continue to maintain the momentum of stable and rapid growth.

Huang Lin, an analyst with Dongwu Securities, echoed Pan's view, saying that consumption will rise at a faster pace this year due to the government's stimulation policies and a drop in general price levels.

The central bank made countering inflation its priority with tightened monetary measures last year before unleashing signals of easing these measures in December, when it reduced banks' reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points for the first time in three years.

The year-on-year growth of the consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, eased to 4.1 percent in December from a peak of 6.5 percent in July.

In January, the CPI rose 4.5 percent year-on-year, the highest in three months, mainly boosted by food price surges in January amid the traditional Chinese Lunar New Year holiday, said Lian Ping, chief economist at the Bank of Communications.

At meetings held last week to solicit opinions from representatives of different sectors of society on the draft of a government work report, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said that the government is paying close attention to the economic situation in January and the first quarter of this year.

"We have to make a proper judgment as early as possible when things happen and take quick action," Wen said, adding fine-tuning of macro policies should begin in the first quarter.

Pan said that the country's macroeconomic policies may be relaxed to some extent, but will still be functioning "under the framework of being prudent."

As to China's fixed-asset investment, Huang believed that it will slide further this year due to the government's stern curbs on the property market, and the year-on-year growth of investment will slow to about 19 percent.

China has imposed a raft of measures aiming to calm property prices, including higher down payments, limits on the number of houses that people can own, the introduction of a property tax in some cities, and the construction of low-income housing.

China will unswervingly maintain this regulation of the property market next year so that housing prices return to a reasonable level, according to decisions made at the country's central economic work conference in December.

A statement released after the annual economic work conference also said that China will speed up the construction of ordinary commercial residential housing to increase supply and promote healthy development of the property market.

Wen said last week that the government will work unwaveringly to bring housing prices back to "reasonable levels" while promoting the long-term, stable and healthy development of the industry.

"As a country that is rapidly industrializing and urbanizing with 1.3 billion people, demand in the housing market is solid in the long run," the premier admitted.

Jiang Chao, chief macroeconomic analyst for Guotai Junan Securities, reckoned there have been signs that the country's curbs on the property sector will be relaxed this year, a move which would be conducive to the industry's improvement.

"I see the GDP growth rate slowing to around 8.4 percent this year, but judging from the current situations of government policies and the economy, the odds of a hard landing for China's economy are slim," said Jiang.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 香港三日本8A三级少妇三级99 | 国产精品国产香蕉在线观看网| 中国人xxxxx69免费视频| 日韩免费无砖专区2020狼| 制服丝袜电影在线观看| 香蕉视频网站在线观看| 成年女人永久免费观看片| 久久精品国产亚洲AV天海翼| 欧美国产日韩在线观看| 午夜在线亚洲男人午在线| 色狠狠狠狠狠香蕉| 国产精品福利一区| 中文全彩漫画爆乳| 日本午夜精品一区二区三区电影| 亚洲综合在线一区二区三区| 精品一区二区三区在线观看l| 国产99视频精品免视看7| 金发美女与黑人巨大交| 国产网红无码精品视频| 中国陆超帅精瘦ktv直男少爷| 日本电影中文字幕| 久久青草国产免费观看| 男人j放进女人p全黄| 又大又硬又爽免费视频| 久久久久999| 国产精品亚洲片在线观看不卡| 777米奇影视盒| 日本久久久久中文字幕| 久久精品国内一区二区三区 | 波多野结衣教师在线| 国产三级av在线播放| 16女性下面扒开无遮挡免费| 国模丽丽啪啪一区二区| 99爱在线视频这里只有精品| 天堂在线最新资源| av毛片免费看| 我要c死你小荡货高h视频| 久久久久久久久影院| 欧美中文综合在线视频| 亚洲成av人片在线观看无码| 欧美最猛黑人猛交69|