Falling forex reserves trigger concerns of policy easing

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail Xinhua, January 13, 2012
Adjust font size:

China's central bank said Friday that the country's foreign exchange reserves as of the end of the fourth quarter last year had fallen to 3.18 trillion U.S. dollars, down 20.6 billion U.S. dollars from the previous quarter.

The net quarterly decrease was a rare case in recent years for the country, which is currently the world's largest holder of foreign exchange reserves.

Foreign exchange reserves increased by 72.1 billion U.S. dollars in October, but decreased by 52.9 billion U.S. dollars and 39.76 billion U.S. dollars in November and December, respectively, according to data from the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the country's central bank.

Analysts say the drop in foreign exchange reserves in December is a strong indication of speculative capital flowing out of the country amid the sovereign debt crisis in Europe and economic turmoil in the United States.

The PBOC data released Friday also showed the country's yuan funds outstanding for foreign exchanges fell to 25.36 trillion yuan (4 trillion U.S. dollars) in December, down 100.3 billion yuan from November. The December data also marked the third monthly decline.

The monthly fall was dramatic compared to decreases of 24.9 billion yuan and 27.9 billion yuan in October and November, respectively.

"Falling forex reserves and yuan funds stemming from foreign exchanges are normal reflections of the current foreign exchange market impacted by the European debt crisis. They are in line with market expectations," said Ding Zhijie, dean of the School of Banking and Finance of the University of International Business and Economics.

The scale of the inflow of speculative overseas capital, or "hot money," can be measured simply by subtracting trade surplus and foreign direct investment (FDI) from newly-increased yuan funds.

The sharp decrease of yuan funds further suggested that foreign capital outflows were gaining traction, because China registered growth in both FDI and its trade surplus. Customs data showed that the trade surplus in December widened to 16.52 billion U.S. dollars from 14.53 billion U.S. dollars in November.

FDI data for December has not been released. In November China attracted 8.76 billion U.S. dollars in FDI.

Falling yuan funds also came at a time when expectations for appreciation of the Chinese currency, the yuan, weakened in December on concerns of a slowdown in the world's second largest economy. The country's GDP grew 9.1 percent in the third quarter, down from 9.7 percent in the first quarter and 9.5 percent in the second quarter last year.

In December, the yuan continued to depreciate against the U.S. dollar on spot markets due to concerns that faltering external demand would hurt growth in China.

Zhang Ming, an international finance expert with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, predicted that overseas short-term capital will continue to flow out of newly emerging economies in the first half of this year.

In the first half of last year, rising yuan funds were a problem for the nation's monetary authorities, complicating their task of introducing policies to steady economic growth and control inflation. By purchasing foreign currencies, the central bank releases an equivalent value of yuan funds into the domestic market, which leads to increased liquidity.

However, the continuous decrease of yuan funds, and especially the sharp decline registered in December, sparked speculation of further loosening of monetary policies as inflation eased to 4.1 percent last month, the slowest rise in 15 months.

To replenish liquidity in the country's banking system as inflation eased, the central bank on Dec. 5 lowered banks' reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points for the first time in three years.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日本边添边摸边做边爱的视频| 狠狠躁夜夜躁人人爽天天天天97| 国产精品igao视频网网址| аⅴ中文在线天堂| 拍拍拍无挡无遮10000| 乱人伦人妻中文字幕无码| 欧美日韩视频一区三区二区| 免费一级毛片在线播放不收费| 老子影院午夜伦手机在线看| 国产在线视频www片| 884hutv四虎永久7777| 国内精品伊人久久久久网站| www.日本在线播放| 成人免费区一区二区三区| 久久久久人妻精品一区二区三区| 曰韩无码无遮挡a级毛片| 亚洲免费一级片| 欧美日韩在大午夜爽爽影院| 亚洲黄色在线播放| 空白tk2一一视频丨vk| 午夜高清视频在线观看| 色多多www视频在线观看免费 | 焰灵姬你下面好紧| 免费大片黄国产在线观看| 精品福利三区3d卡通动漫| 嗯好湿用力的啊c进来动态图 | 天天射天天操天天| xxxxx做受大片视频| 学霸c了我一节课| 一级毛片直接看| 性生活一级毛片| 中国凸偷窥XXXX自由视频| 手机看片1024旧版| 中文字幕精品一区二区三区视频| 日本乱子伦xxxx| 久久久久免费精品国产| 日本成人免费网站| 久久久无码精品亚洲日韩按摩| 日韩一区二区三| 久久精品乱子伦免费| 日本高清视频在线www色|