China's GDP growth forecast reduced

 
0 Comment(s)Print E-mail Shanghai Daily, November 30, 2011
Adjust font size:

The debt crisis in the eurozone and a falling domestic property market prompted another two huge financial institutions yesterday to cut their forecast of China's economic growth next year.

The gross domestic product in the world's second-largest economy may expand 8 percent in 2012 from a year earlier, down from a previous estimate of 8.3 percent, UBS AG said.

Meanwhile, Citigroup Inc also lowered its forecast of China's economic growth next year to 8.4 percent from 8.7 percent.

"The much weaker eurozone growth will affect the rest of the world, including China," UBS economist Wang Tao said in a note. "We expect China's exports to decline in early 2012, and as a result of this, we cut the country's growth forecast."

Citigroup, on the other hand, viewed a correction in China's property sector may slow the economy's growth rate, along with the debt crisis in Europe and a possible third round of quantitative easing in the United States.

"We think a sharper deceleration in property investment is the biggest risk to China's economy," Citigroup's economist Johanna Chua said. "But a hard landing can be averted in the near term with sufficient policy flexibility to provide support for growth, especially on the fiscal front."

Last month, home prices fell in 33 of 70 Chinese cities tracked by the National Bureau of Statistics, and housing transactions declined 25 percent from the level in September.

Chua expected the central bank to cut the reserve requirement ratio, the amount of money that commercial banks set aside as reserves, before the Spring Festival in late January, and may raise interest rates to stabilize deposits if the recent capital outflows continue.

UBS's Wang said she estimated the central bank to raise its new lending target for 2012 to 8 trillion yuan (US$1.25 trillion) from 7.3 trillion to 7.4 trillion this year.

China's economy grew 9.1 percent annually in the third quarter, slower than 9.5 percent in the second quarter and 9.7 percent in the first quarter.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 6080yy午夜不卡一二三区| 两个人看的www日本动漫| 欧美日韩在线一区二区三区| 午夜福利视频合集1000| 豪妇荡乳1一5白玉兰| 国产欧美日韩另类精彩视频| 91久久打屁股调教网站| 天天干天天摸天天操| 一卡二卡三卡在线观看| 我要看a级毛片| 国产亚洲人成a在线v网站| 亚洲欧美18v中文字幕高清| 国产经典三级在线| 99视频精品全部免费观看| 婷婷综合激情网| 中国午夜性春猛交xxxx| 日本a级视频在线播放| 久久国产免费观看精品| 最新国产乱人伦偷精品免费网站 | 亚洲熟女精品中文字幕| 男女边摸边做激情视频免费| 十分钟免费视频高清完整版www| 老王666天堂网站| 国产乱人伦偷精精品视频| 香蕉视频免费在线播放| 国产日韩精品一区二区三区在线| 131美女爱做免费毛片| 国产精品香蕉在线观看| 91精品福利一区二区| 在线看欧美日韩中文字幕| 99热亚洲色精品国产88| 天堂…在线最新版资源| 99资源在线观看| 夂女yin乱合集高h文| AV无码久久久久不卡蜜桃| 天天干天天干天天干| tstye.cn| 处处吻动漫高清在线观看| 99国产精品视频免费观看| 在线观看免费黄网站| 99久久一香蕉国产线看观看|