China's economy may cool, hard landing ruled out

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail Xinhua, November 22, 2011
Adjust font size:

China's economic expansion may further slow down amid heightening strain in debt-ridden Europe and lingering concerns over the US economy, but the country is not going to have a hard landing -- at least not soon.

Hurt by a slowdown in external demand and a liquidity crunch under monetary tightening, the country's economy has slowed to its weakest pace in two years and is likely to continue on the cooling trend.

A report released by Beijing-based Renmin University of China (RUC) forecast that China's economic growth will ease to 9.4 percent this year before further slipping to 9.2 percent in 2012.

However, even with that figure, the country still outperforms other major economies and stays in shape.

The country's economic fundamentals will remain good in 2012, Wang Yiming, deputy head of the Academy of Macroeconomic Research under the country's top economic planner, the National Development and Reform Commission, said at a forum held by Xinhua News Agency last weekend.

His comment was echoed by other economists.

Despite some cooling, it is generally believed that the world's second largest economy will not slide into recession, as domestic consumption is gaining strength and the government stands ready to fine-tune policies.

The biggest risk facing China next year will come from the external environment, especially the debt crisis in Europe. But the government has been keenly aware of this, Wang said.

"When mapping out guidelines for the 12th Five-Year Plan, central authorities decided the main task in the coming one or two years would still be combating the spill-over of the global financial crisis," he said. "They made the right judgement."

"When talking about China's economy, one should never overlook the government's leading and irreplaceable role," said Gao Peiyong, an economics professor with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS).

In China, the government's macro-control intent will often translate into real economic outcomes, Gao said.

As consumer prices eased for a third consecutive month, and global headwinds continue to blow from the eurozone crisis and the United States, China's macro-control should make some timely adjustments to keep up with the changes, said Li Yang, vice president of the CASS.

The government now should strike a balance between curbing inflation and maintaining economic growth, he said.

Apart from external uncertainties, the sizzling domestic housing market has been deemed another major trigger for China's hard landing.

According to Liu Yuanchun, deputy head of the School of Economics at RUC, local governments, whose finances have relied heavily on land sales, could not bear more than a 20 percent dip in housing prices, while the macro-economy is unable to take drops of over 25 percent.

He predicted the government will finally loosen control over the real estate sector in the third quarter next year.

The central government should seek a soft landing for the property market, said Li Daokui, an advisor to the monetary policy committee of the central bank.

A hard landing in the real estate market, as in the United States and some European countries, will lead to a series of social and economic problems, the advisor said.

As China's economy continues growing vigorously, it will take three years to defuse pressure related to the overheating housing market, he added.

China's GDP slowed to 9.1 percent in the third quarter of this year, down from 9.5 percent in the second quarter and 9.7 percent in the first quarter.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产三级在线电影| 国模无码视频一区二区三区| 久久精品国产99国产精品澳门| 欧美综合中文字幕久久| 免费看欧美成人性色生活片| 中文字幕av免费专区| 日韩精品一区二区三区中文3d| 亚洲女初尝黑人巨高清| 激情内射人妻1区2区3区| 国产女人18毛片水真多1| 窝窝影院午夜看片| 成人免费观看高清在线毛片| 久久国产精久久精产国| 最近高清中文在线国语字幕| 免费国产人做人视频在线观看| 美女的尿口无遮掩的照片| 国产人成视频在线视频| 久久机热这里只有精品无需| 女人与大拘交在线播放| 一级毛片特级毛片国产| 成年女人免费播放影院| 久久99精品久久| 日本久久免费大片| 亚洲成在线观看| 波多野结衣免费| 人妻免费久久久久久久了| 精品久久久久久无码人妻热| 国产小视频在线观看免费| 亚洲激情视频图片| 国产精品对白刺激久久久| www.色综合| 少妇太爽了在线观看| 一级毛片不卡片免费观看| 性欧美18一19sex性高清播放 | 美美哒韩国免费高清在线观看 | 9lporm自拍视频在线| 失禁h啪肉尿出来高h男男视频| а√天堂资源官网在线资源| 小sao货求辱骂| youjizz.com中国| 天海翼黄色三级|