Economist urges cautious monetary policy

0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, November 3, 2010
Adjust font size:

China should shift its monetary policy toward a "cautious" stance to combat high inflationary pressure and the risk of asset bubbles, central bank advisor Li Daokui said on Tuesday.

"Once the economic downturn is contained and growth stabilizes, China should consider shifting from the current moderately loose monetary stance to a prudent or even cautious one," Li said at a financial forum in Beijing.

His comments come at a time when the market is speculating that the central bank may further tighten its monetary policy by raising interest rates once more before the end of the year to curb inflation and asset bubbles.

The central bank said in a monetary policy report released on Tuesday that uncertainties about price trends were increasing and it will improve liquidity management to ensure appropriate bank credit growth.

It also said it will gradually normalize monetary policy from its center-crisis mode while vowing to continue to follow a "moderately loose" stance.

Li echoed the central bank's stance and warned that the biggest risk in China's economy is fast-rising asset prices caused by the massive amount of liquidity in the economy which could lead to systemic financial risks.

"China's money supply is already the largest globally," he said. "Such a massive amount of liquidity could inevitably lead to asset bubbles and damage the health of the country's financial institutions."

China's broad measure of money supply, M2, rose 19 percent in September from a year earlier to 69.64 trillion yuan ($10.42 trillion), more than double the 2009 GDP of 34.05 trillion yuan.

The country's foreign reserves also surged to a new high of $2.6 trillion in September while the loan growth among commercial banks reached $89.3 billion in the same month.

Li called on policymakers to use the country's securities market to absorb the excess liquidity in the banking system. He also suggested the government divert part of the foreign reserve to the private sector through overseas investment.

China's massive amount of liquidity has formed over the past two years as a result of the 4 trillion yuan stimulus program initiated by the government to prop up the economy following the global financial crisis.

The recent round of quantitative easing in the United States is also believed to have caused "hot money" flows to emerging markets, including China.

The central bank in October raised the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points for the first time in nearly three years after the consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.6 percent in September from a year earlier.

Although analysts expect China's CPI to edge even higher in the rest of the year, Yao Jingyuan, chief economist of the National Bureau of Statistics , said that the country would be able to contain consumer price growth at an average of 3.5 percent or less.

In the meantime, Li expected appreciation pressures on the yuan to ease as China's trade surplus is likely to fall to 220 billion yuan this year, about 4 percent of GDP.

"It will greatly ease the appreciation pressure of the yuan if the trade surplus continues to fall to 2 or 3 percent in the coming years," he said.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 特级欧美老少乱配| 久久99精品久久久久久噜噜 | 色一情一乱一伦麻豆| 国产成人+综合亚洲+天堂| 88av免费观看入口在线| 天天摸天天碰成人免费视频| 亚洲一区二区三区国产精品无码| 波多野结衣大战黑鬼101| 免费人成视频在线| 精品无码中文视频在线观看| 国产三级免费电影| 韩国免费一级片| 国产成人天天5g影院| 99在线播放视频| 娇妻第一次被多p| 久久精品aⅴ无码中文字字幕重口 久久精品aⅴ无码中文字字幕重口 | 热99re久久精品这里都是精品免费| 公和我在厨房猛烈进出视频| 老司机在线免费视频| 国产乱了真实在线观看| 韩国午夜理论在线观看| 国产女主播福利在线| 大学生男男澡堂69gaysex| 一个人看的免费高清视频www| 日韩电影中文字幕在线网站| 亚洲乱码精品久久久久..| 欧美大bbbxxx视频| 公车上的奶水嗯嗯乱hnp| 美女无遮挡免费视频网站| 国产成人高清在线播放| bbw巨大丰满xxxx| 天天综合亚洲色在线精品| 一本一本久久a久久精品综合麻豆| 成人动漫视频在线| 九九热这里都是精品| 樱桃视频影院在线播放| 亚洲专区一路线二| 欧美va天堂在线电影| 亚洲中文字幕在线第六区| 欧美亚洲人成网站在线观看 | 韩国精品一区视频在线播放|