Key index indicates rebound of China's economy

0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, September 2, 2010
Adjust font size:

Manufacturing in China rebounded in August, easing fears of a steep correction to the economy, analysts said.

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), a major indicator of economic activity, rose to 51.7 percent in August, up 0.5 percentage points from the July figure, and reversed a three-month fall in the growth rate, the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said on Wednesday.

The index considers 50 to be a benchmark figure and the dividing line between economic expansion and contraction. Anything above 50 indicates expansion.

Economists have been concerned about a slowdown, especially when US growth dropped to 1.6 percent in the second quarter, from a previous estimate of 2.4 percent in July.

Neither is news on the job front in the European Union good with the unemployment rate hitting an almost two-decade high.

A research note from the Industrial Securities said the rebound showed domestic demand is playing an increasingly important role, with the nation relying less on foreign trade for growth.

"China's recovery in the third quarter is helping prevent the world from a double dip recession," the note said.

Zhang Liqun, a researcher at the State Council's Development and Research Center, said he believed the PMI rebound indicated that China's economy was not likely to see a steep correction.

"But attention should be paid to the big rebound in the Input Price Index (IPI), which might increase pressure on companies' costs."

The IPI jumped 10.1 points last month to 60.5.

"Overall, the leading indicators in August point to some near-term strength in manufacturing activity and a rebound in input cost pressures," said Peter Redward, head of Emerging Asia Research at Barclays Capital.

"Looking ahead, we expect a further pickup in the headline PMI in September before moderating in October."

However, Lu Zhengwei, chief economist of Industrial Bank, said he believed the rebound was largely due to seasonal factors.

Historically, the PMI tended to rise month-on-month from August to September, after declining from May to July.

"Without seasonal factors, the rebound is quite weak and should not be regarded as a signal for economic recovery," Lu said.

Despite the improved PMI statistics, most economists believe China's economic growth will continue to slow in the coming months.

"We expect gross domestic product (GDP) growth to slow further, bottoming at 8 to 8.5 percent year-on-year in the fourth quarter as the impact of the property tightening becomes more apparent and export growth slows," said Wang Tao, head of China Economic Research at UBS Securities.

"But the new investment programs announced this year will help push up investment and GDP growth from the first quarter of 2011, and we expect the growth to be 9.5 to 10 percent for the whole year," Wang added.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 天天做天天躁天天躁| 日韩一区二区免费视频| 六月婷婷综合网| 苍井苍空A免费井线在线观看| 国产男女猛烈无遮挡免费网站| 99re视频在线观看| 嫩草视频在线看| 中文字幕第四页| 日本欧美中文字幕| 五月婷婷在线免费观看| 欧美日韩精品久久免费| 人妻av无码专区| av片在线播放| 日韩高清第一页| 亚洲国产欧美日韩一区二区| 澡人人澡人澡人人澡天天| 免费看美女被靠到爽的视频| 久久五月天综合| 国产精品午夜电影| 91制片厂在线播放| 在线免费看黄网站| a级片免费在线| 女性成人毛片a级| 一级做a爰全过程免费视频| 成年人免费网站在线观看| 久久久xxxx| 日本特级淫片免费| 久久精品国产99久久久| 日韩高清在线观看| 亚洲AV无码专区亚洲AV不卡| 欧美一级特黄乱妇高清视频| 亚洲日本在线播放| 欧美精品一区二区精品久久 | 免费看男人j放进女人j色多多| 美国式禁忌23| 另类视频第一页| 美国十次精彩在线视频| 四虎影视永久免费视频观看| 色屁屁www影院免费观看视频| 国产丰满乱子伦无码专区| 蜜柚直播在线播放|