British economist: China has promising growth prospects

0 CommentsPrint E-mail Xinhua, June 2, 2010
Adjust font size:

China has promising growth prospects and should not be blamed for world imbalances, says Danny Quah, a renowned British economist.

"Emergency financing that was placed in the Chinese economy to counter the downturn from the 2008 global financial crisis was the right thing...The imbalances is a global problem, not a China problem," said Quah, a professor at the London School of Economics and Political Science.

China did the right thing in infusing its economy with fiscal stimulus, Quah said in a recent interview with Xinhua.

He also declined to describe the ballooning real estate prices as a bubble, pointing out "the strong fundamentals" of China's economy.

He said the expansion of China's housing construction will be proved useful eventually, given the fact that "China is still engaging in the task of moving hundreds of millions of people from rural areas to urban China to continue to power its manufacturing and industrial progress."

"So I would not describe it as a collapse of real estate bubble, we can look forward to a rationalization of housing and real estate prices," Quah said. "The improvement and expansion of housing stock will play an important role in continuing to move the Chinese economy forward."

"I think Chinese fundamentals will continue to be strong. And a little bit of high inflation, as long as it doesn't break out into some kind of runaway high inflation, is probably no bad thing," he said. "We will get it under control again as the Chinese government did previously."

On allegations that China deliberately keeps its currency RMB weak to obtain unfair advantages in trade with countries like the United States, Quah said people who draw such a false conclusion are misguided.

"The United States is running a trade deficit not just against China. It is running a trade deficit against almost 100 other countries," he said. "China is not unique in how it is exporting more to the United States than it's importing."

The U.S. government was beginning to run a large trade deficit long before China's trade surpluses started grow, he added.

"If you take the ratio of China's bilateral trade surplus against the U.S. as a fraction of the U.S.' overall bilateral trade deficit against all of the countries, it has remained constant over the last 15, 20 years," Quah said.

He said these facts clearly show that the appreciation of RMB will not end the U.S. trade deficit, instead it may produce unexpected repercussions upon the U.S. economy and the rest of the world.

Quah said RMB appreciation would also force American consumers to purchase goods from other nations at higher expenses.

"Revaluation proponents should be reminded that manufacturers of the U.S. rely on the inputs from China," he said. "If China's commodities get more expensive, it would hurt the U.S. industry, and hundreds of thousands of jobs will be destroyed."

When asked what is behind the world imbalances, Quah said: "The direction of the causality I think is much more compelling from the behavior of the U.S. economy to the rest of the world than it is from China to the U.S. economy."

"The inability of the dollar to adjust the world imbalance contributes much to the financial crisis," he said.

"If you believe this alternative of this pattern of causality, then how we fix the problem of trade deficit imbalances is to fix the U.S. economy," he added.

Quah said the U.S. role in the world economy is no longer as optimistic as it was. Other parts of the global economy are actually growing faster and already having a much bigger role in the global economy. American consumers have to be more careful with their borrowing behaviors, he said.

"When they do that, I would argue, a more rational attitude toward savings and consumption. That would restore the world pattern of global balances," he said. "We would need other things as well, but I think that is the single largest cause for global imbalances."

Quah said the "global economy's center of gravity," a quantified indicator showing the global distribution of economic activities, has been moving 2,000 km eastwards for the past three decades, indicating the increasing importance of the East in the world economy.

However, "it may take decades if not centuries to see a shift of leadership from the West to the East with the reconfiguration of political power and soft power paralleled with the economic power," he said.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 91精品国产网曝事件门| 无码人妻少妇久久中文字幕| 国内精品久久久久久久久蜜桃| 亚洲а∨天堂久久精品| 练瑜伽的时候进入| 成人毛片免费观看视频大全| 亚洲熟女综合一区二区三区| 露脸自拍[62p]| 天堂а在线中文在线新版| 久久精品无码专区免费青青| 精品久久久久久无码中文字幕一区| 国产精品区免费视频| 中文字幕久久久人妻无码| 欧美日在线观看| 同桌一直在夹腿还嗯啊的叫| 18女人腿打开无遮挡网站| 成人午夜视频精品一区| 亚洲国产成人精品久久| 美女张开双腿让男生捅| 国产福利一区二区| www.kkbokk.com| 毛片大片免费看| 国产aaa级一级毛片| 青青操免费在线观看| 性欧美hd调教| 久激情内射婷内射蜜桃| 激情偷乱人伦小说视频在线 | 九九久久精品国产AV片国产| 狠狠色噜噜狠狠狠狠97| 国产亚av手机在线观看| 4399理论片午午伦夜理片| 岛国在线播放v片免费| 久久天堂夜夜一本婷婷麻豆| 欧美福利在线播放| 公侵犯玩弄漂亮人妻优| 香港三级电影在线观看| 国产精品无码素人福利| yy6080一级毛片高清| 日本三级生活片| 亚洲中字慕日产2021| 猫咪av成人永久网站在线观看|