Fed's low interest rates may cause next global crisis: Tsang

陳博淵
0 CommentsPrint E-mail China Daily, November 14, 2009
Adjust font size:

The Federal Reserve's policy of keeping interest rates near zero is fueling a wave of speculative capital that may cause the next global crisis, Hong Kong's chief executive said.

"I'm scared and leaders should look out," said Donald Tsang, chief executive of the city, said in Singapore Friday. "America is doing exactly what Japan did last time," he said, adding that Japan's zero interest rate policy contributed to the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the US mortgage meltdown.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, a scholar of the Great Depression, has overseen a record injection of liquidity into the world's largest economy, pledging not to make the mistake of the 1930s, when officials tightened policy. Tsang's warning contrasts with pledges by the Group of 20 nations that represent the world's biggest economies to keep stimulus measures in place.

"We have a US dollar carry trade at the moment," Tsang, 65, said in a speech where leaders of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum are gathering for a weekend meeting. "Carry trade" describes the situation in which investors borrow cheaply in one currency and use the funds to invest in other currencies.

"Where the money is going - it's where the problem's going to be: Asia," Tsang said. "You can see asset prices going up, not only in Korea, in Taiwan, in Singapore and in Hong Kong, going up to levels that are incompatible or inconsistent with the economic fundamentals."

Tsang also said the city was considering introducing short-position reporting rules.

Tsang was Hong Kong's financial secretary during the 1997-98 Asian crisis, when countries from South Korea to Indonesia were forced to borrow from the International Monetary Fund because of an investor exodus sparked by concerns that the value of their currencies could not be maintained. Together with Hong Kong Monetary Authority chief Joseph Yam, he intervened to buy $15 billion of Hong Kong stock, successfully defending the city's exchange-rate peg to the dollar.

Hong Kong's interest rates track those of the US because of the currency's peg to the dollar. Real estate prices in the city have risen more than 25 percent this year, prompting the International Monetary Fund to warn this month of a possible bubble. Hong Kong Financial Secretary John Tsang said November 4 the government was "very concerned" about the rise.

Tsang's warning may strike a chord elsewhere in Asia, where inflows of capital threaten to create bubbles.

World Bank President Robert Zoellick, also in Singapore for APEC, said that while Asian economies do face some risk of asset prices climbing, it's up to the their officials to act.

"Given liquidity in the international marketplace and given the pace of recovery in East Asia, you could start to see some asset bubbles," Zoellick said in a Bloomberg Television interview Thursday. "There will be a need here, unlike what you might have in Europe and North America", he said, citing actions such as Australia's rate boost this month, as an example.

Asian central banks this year have increased holdings of US dollar assets, including treasury bills, to keep their currencies from rising, which would make their exports more expensive relative to China's. While China's holdings of US Treasuries rose 10 percent this year, Japan's increased 16 percent and those in the rest of Asia by 25 percent, Bloomberg data show.

The U.S. currency has tumbled 14 percent since the beginning of March, according to the Fed's trade-weighted major currency index. The dollar has been hurt by a global recovery that has reduced investor appetite for the currency as a haven, and by expectations for the Fed to keep its main rate near a record low into 2010.

"There are indications that the US dollar is now serving as the funding currency for carry trades," the IMF said in a report last week. "These trades may be contributing to upward pressure on the euro and some emerging-economy currencies," the report added.

Fed policy makers last week reiterated their pledge to keep borrowing costs "exceptionally low" for an "extended period" to aid the US recovery. APEC finance ministers, in a joint statement yesterday, committed to maintain stimulus efforts "until a durable recovery in private demand is secured."

PrintE-mail Bookmark and Share

Comments

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Comments are moderated and generally will be posted if they are on-topic and not abusive.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产高清一区二区三区| 成人毛片免费看| 亚洲国产精品久久久久久| 粗大的内捧猛烈进出小视频| 手机在线观看视频你懂的| 久久青青草原亚洲av无码麻豆| 欧美日韩中文字幕在线视频| 亚洲视频一区二区在线观看| 精品久久久久久婷婷| 国产AV人人夜夜澡人人爽麻豆| 风间由美性色一区二区三区| 国产无套粉嫩白浆在线| 怡红院国产免费| 国产青草视频在线观看| 99爱在线视频这里只有精品| 好吊妞视频免费视频| 一级做a爱过程免费视频高清| 我要看a级毛片| 久久人午夜亚洲精品无码区| 欧洲精品在线观看| 亚洲国产成人久久精品软件| 欧美日韩精品福利在线观看 | 好紧好大好爽14p| 七仙女欲春2一级裸片免费观看| 欧美日韩在线视频免费完整| 亲密爱人免费观看完整版| 真实处破疼哭视频免费看| 国产日本欧美在线观看| 色多多福利网站老司机| 国产精品毛片一区二区| 888奇米影视| 国产高清无专砖区2021| 91香蕉在线看私人影院| 在线精品免费视频无码的| av一本久道久久波多野结衣| 天堂网在线最新版www| japanese老熟妇乱子伦视频| 女人18毛片水最多免费观看| xxxxx做受大片视频免费| 女人隐私秘视频黄www免费| youjizcom亚洲|